Author Archives: USAGOLD

Market Overview

Posted in ClientInsights, Today's top gold news and opinion |

Short and Sweet

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Gold’s Century
While stocks dominated headlines, gold quietly performed

Bar chart showing gold's annual returns since 2000 including year end 2019

Gold has produced positive returns in 16 of the last 19 years. Gold’s average annual return compounded since 2001 is 9.47%. (2001-2019) Gold’s appreciation over the last twelve months (from 3/20/2019) is 14.2% – even with the recent correction taken into account. Gold has been a portfolio stalwart. A $100,000 investment in gold in January 2001 would be worth about $550,000 today. At gold’s peak in 2011, it would have been worth over $700,000.  While stocks dominated headlines, gold quietly performed.

The question becomes whether or not an investment that has performed so well in the past is likely to perform equally well in the future. Though nothing in the world of finance and economics is certain, we rest the bullish case for gold on the understanding that none of the economic and financial system problems that created a positive price environment for gold over the last nearly nineteen years have been removed from consideration. In fact, a case could be made that they have only intensified – and dangerously so.


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Posted in Short and Sweet, Today's top gold news and opinion |

Short and Sweet

Part 4 of 5 . . . . .

What makes this gold market rally
different from all others


Bullion banks are covering their shorts on price retreats, not piling-on


Declining global interest rates have put a damper on another traditional source of physical gold supply – bullion bank leasing programs. “We can conclude,” writes gold market analyst, Alasdair Macleod, in an insightful paper published at the GoldMoney website, “that the basis for highly geared interest rate arbitrage by borrowing gold is running into a brick wall. Not only is there no incentive for lessors but also there is also a diminishing appetite for lessees because the opportunities are vanishing. Synthetic gold liabilities are being gradually reduced, not only by ceasing the creation of new obligations, but by buying bullion to cover existing ones. This will have been particularly the case when the USD yield curve began to invert in recent months (itself a backwardation of time preference), and was the surface reason, therefore, that the gold price moved rapidly from under $1200 to over $1500.” This change in direction for bullion banks represents another fundamental difference between this rally in the gold price and rallies of the past.  What’s more, given the entrenched low-rate environment, it looks like it might remain a factor for some time to come.Graphic image of bull and bear, pencil drawing

Part 1Part 2Part 3Part 4Part 5


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Favorite web pages

Gold Trading Hours

Map of world gold colored with www.usagold.com - Members World Wide Web since 1997

Whenever the gold market gets active, we have a large increase in visitors at our Gold Trading Hours page.  Investors want to see which markets – Asian, European or American – are the focal point for price movement.  They also want to know when a particular market is going to open or close in areas where gold might experience an influx of buyer or seller interest.  That is why we designed this popular page with market hours and a live clock showing the local time in that particular market and all the other major gold markets.  Gold Trading Hours is one of the quiet pages at USAGOLD that garners significant global interest particularly when the market is moving or breaking news warrants more than average interest. We also invite you to return here regularly – to this Live Daily Newsletter page – for up-to-the-minute gold market news, opinion and analysis as it happens.

We invite your visit.  We encourage your bookmark.

USAGOLD’s
Gold Trading Hours
London – New York – Sydney – Hong Kong – Shanghai – Tokyo – Zurich

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Posted in Favorite web pages, Today's top gold news and opinion | Tagged |

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Posted in ClientInsights |

Thinking about buying gold and silver?

Wizard of Id cartoon 'whoever has the gold makes the rules'

Gold in six easy lessons

1. Don’t buy it because you need to make money; buy it to protect the money you already have.

2. Don’t look at price as a barrier; look at it as an incentive.

3. Don’t buy the paper pretenders; buy the real thing in the form of coins and bullion.

4. Don’t fall prey to glitzy TV ads; do your due diligence instead.

5. Don’t allow naysayers to divert your interest; allow yourself the right to protect your interests as you see fit.

6. Don’t forget the golden rule: Those who own the gold make the rules!


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USAGOLD Special Report

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Bridging the ‘Fourth Turning’ with Gold
It began in 2008.  It is scheduled to end in 2028.
What happens between now and then?

graphic image of suspension bridge
“The fourth turning, is the final season of history, if you will, the final generation. And that is the period of crisis. That is the period when we tear down institutions that we’ve built, everything that’s dysfunctional. And we sort of rebuild things from scratch again. And it usually follows a period where – it’s bound up in a period – where there’s complete disgust, complete distrust with what we have.” – Neil Howe, co-author The Fourth Turning (from a MacroVoices interview, August 2017)

We first published this article in October 2018.  It is as relevant today as it was then though the message has taken on a greater degree of urgency after the events of the past few weeks. A link to the full MacroVoices interview is included with the article.

–– Full Article ––


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Posted in Announcements, Today's top gold news and opinion, USAGOLD Special Report | Tagged |

Image of the word 'Gold' with elaborate gold crownThe Investment of Kings and the King of Investments

From the small investor just starting out to the high-net-worth individual hedging a multi-million dollar portfolio, we have helped many thousands add precious metals to their holdings in our more than 45 years in the gold business – safely, economically and with the investor’s goals in mind.

No matter the size of your investment kingdom, we can help!


Interested in gold but struggling to find the right firm?
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ONLINE ORDER DESK-24/7
Posted in Announcements, ClientInsights, Today's top gold news and opinion | Tagged |

Favorite web pages

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Charles DeGaulle’s ‘Criterion’ speech

Image of French president Charles DeGaulle, black and whiteGiven the increasing frequency and severity of international currency imbroglios and one emerging nation-state after another falling into monetary disrepair, it is not difficult to visualize more and more of these states looking to gold as a matter of national defense. One recalls Charles DeGaulle’s famous criterion speech on gold in this context. Though such a holding would not cure internal problems derived from excessive debt and the debasement of their own currencies, it would offer something of a shield for all nation-states against the devaluation/revaluation policies of other nation-states, just as it does for private investors who take the same course of action.

[LINK]

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Posted in Favorite web pages, Today's top gold news and opinion | Tagged |

USAGOLD one of the oldest and most respected names in the gold business

Ready to include a safe haven in your portfolio plan?
DISCOVER THE USAGOLD DIFFERENCE
ORDER DESK: 1-800-869-5115 x100/orderdesk@usagold.com

ORDER GOLD & SILVER ONLINE 24-7

Posted in Today's top gold news and opinion |

Short and Sweet

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Gold in the age of high-speed electronic trading

graphic image of tower transferering high speed data represented by beam of light

“The best thing you can do is know how to have a balanced portfolio.”
Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates

In an article headlined Robots conquered stock markets/Now they’re coming for bonds and currencies, Bloomberg finance reporter Lananh Nguyen tells us: “In the most liquid equity markets, more than 90 percent of trades are executed electronically, according to estimates from Greenwich Associates. That compares with 79 percent in global foreign exchange, 44 percent in U.S. Treasuries and 26 percent in U.S. corporate bonds, with the most room for growth in the latter two markets, according to [Kevin] McPartland at Greenwich.” [Link] Just this year, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs requested counterparties forgive rogue, machine-driven trades that caused a $41 billion flash crash in a matter of seconds. Though concentrated in a single stock, such anomalous events serve as a cautionary tale on how a full-out, machine-driven panic might evolve on a larger scale.

Because gold does not rely on the performance of another party, it is detached from the matrix of interlocking counter-party risk and occupies a unique place on the financial balance sheet as an asset of last resort and the final arbiter of value.  That is why nation-states and central banks hold large amounts of it on their own balance sheets and why funds and institutions are more and more moving to it as an offset against other trading strategies. Investors have always viewed gold as a reliable hedge against inflation and deflation. In the years to come, they might very well come to know it as an effective hedge against computer-generated financial mayhem as well.


Ready to move from education to action?
DISCOVER THE USAGOLD DIFFERENCE
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ONLINE ORDER DESK-24/7

Important! – Gold’s Century: While stocks dominated headlines, gold quietly performed

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Posted in Short and Sweet, Today's top gold news and opinion | Tagged |

Why precious metals make sense for your IRA in the age of low to negative real rates of return

Image showing negative interest rates as red area chart

Negative interest rates are a reality in both the European Union and Japan. Alan Greenspan recently said that it is “only a matter of time” before they spread to the United States.  One of the arguments against gold over the years has been that it costs money to own it. Now it costs money to own euros and yen, and before too long it might cost money to own the dollar as well. “One of the reasons,” Greenspan added in that same CNBC interview, “the gold price is rising as fast as it is – you know, at $1500 a troy ounce . . . What that is telling us is that people are looking for resources they know are going to have a value 20 years from now, or 30 years from now, as they age and they want to make sure they have the resources to keep themselves in place.”

The advent of negative rates is perhaps one of the more profound differences between this gold rally and rallies in the past. It might also prove to be the most enduring.  If you have an interest in hedging your IRA with precious metals, we can help.


Ready to launch your precious metals retirement account?
ORDER DESK
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1-800-869-5115 x100/orderdesk@usagold.com
We invite you to call or e-mail for friendly, helpful service.
Or start the process by setting up your retirement account here.
Then contact us at your convenience.

Need more info?  Try this Q&A.

Posted in Announcements, ClientInsights, Today's top gold news and opinion | Tagged |

Gold’s century

While stocks dominated headlines, gold quietly performed

“For twelve consecutive years, gold was up every single year whether there were inflation fears, deflation fears; strong dollar, weak dollar; political stability, political instability. It didn’t matter – strong oil, weak oil. . . Gold went up for twelve years. . . When gold embarks upon its next move, I believe that you will see that long wave take gold relatively quickly, but it will be measured in years, up to a $3000 to $5000 target that I believe is fundamentally justified based on the facts we have today.” –– Thomas Kaplan, Electrum Group (Bloomberg’s Peer to Peer Conversations with David Rubinstein)

Bar chart showing gold's annual returns since 2000 including year end 2019

1. Gold has produced positive returns in 16 of the last 19 years.

2. Gold’s average annual return compounded since 2001 is 9.47%. (2001-2019)

3. Gold’s appreciation over the last twelve months (from 3/20/2019) is 14.2% – even with the recent correction taken into account.

4. Gold has been a portfolio stalwart. A $100,000 investment in gold in January 2001 would be worth about $550,000 today. At gold’s peak in 2011, it would have been worth over $700,000.

5. Gold does not have a political preference – something to keep in mind as we move through another presidential election year. Its ascent has occurred during the terms of four presidents – two Democrats (Bill Clinton and Barack Obama) and two Republicans (George Bush and Donald Trump). Its largest gain – 31.92% in 2007 – came under a Republican (Bush). It’s second-largest gain – 29.24% in 2009 – came under a Democrat (Obama).

6. Gold is not swayed by who leads the Federal Reserve. Its ascent has occurred during the terms of four different Fed chairmen with four distinctly different styles and approaches to monetary policy – Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen, and Jerome Powell – and under a variety of economic circumstances and events.

7. Contrary to popular belief, gold does not need inflation to appreciate in value. In 2001 the average inflation rate was 2.8%. In 2018, it was 2.4%. Between those bookend years, the inflation rate exceeded 3% only three times. Its lowest reading was 0.1% in 2015. In short, some of gold’s best years were the result not of inflation but disinflation – a stubborn circumstance that has carried over to the present.

8. Gold’s price history is only loosely connected to that of the dollar. In January 2001, the U.S. Dollar Index stood at 113.39. It now stands at just under 102 for a decline of 10% during the period. The price of gold, on the other hand, rose 5.5 times – a pace well ahead of the dollar’s performance against other national currencies.

9. The 21st century has been gold’s century, not the stock market’s. In January 2001, the Dow Jones Industrial Average stood near 9,850. With its recent sharp decline taken into account, it is now just over the 19,000 mark for a gain of roughly 193%. By contrast, gold is up over 550% over the same period (from roughly $270 to $1500 per ounce). While stocks dominated headlines, gold quietly performed.

The question becomes whether or not an investment that has performed so well in the past is likely to perform equally well in the future. Though nothing in the world of finance and economics is certain, we rest the bullish case for gold on the understanding that none of the economic and financial system problems that created a positive price environment for gold over the last nearly nineteen years have been removed from consideration. In fact, a case could be made that they have only intensified – and dangerously so.

Thus, we return where we began for an answer – to the well-conceived forecast from Electrum Group’s Thomas Kaplan at the top of the page. (The interview is highly recommended.) Perhaps a decade hence, we will post another chart at USAGOLD similar to the one you now see at the top of the page. At $5,000, by the way, the appreciation from the current $1500 price would amount to roughly 330%. Thomas Kaplan, we add in conclusion, began his investment career with $10,000. He is now a billionaire. Gold was priced at $1280 per ounce at the time of the Bloomberg interview.

–– Michael J. Kosares
3/21/2020


Ready to begin or add to your precious metals holdings?
DISCOVER THE USAGOLD DIFFERENCE
ORDER DESK: 1-800-869-5115 x100/orderdesk@usagold.com

ORDER GOLD & SILVER ONLINE 24-7


Disclaimer – Opinions expressed on the USAGOLD.com website do not constitute an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any precious metals product, nor should they be viewed in any way as investment advice or advice to buy, sell or hold. USAGOLD, Inc. recommends the purchase of physical precious metals for asset preservation purposes, not speculation. Utilization of these opinions for speculative purposes is neither suggested nor advised. Commentary is strictly for educational purposes, and as such USAGOLD does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information found here.

Posted in Today's top gold news and opinion |

Recent client testimonial

Image of check for $1 million

“Thank you! It has been a pleasure doing business with your Company! You’ve treated the small investor (me) just like you would a millionaire. Best wishes, and I hope I can make some purchases in the future.” – L.W., Savannah, Georgia

We also treat millionaires . . . well. . . like millionaires – whether they admit to being millionaires or not [smile].

We receive unsolicited testimonials like L.W.’s routinely. Please see our Client Testimonials page for more feedback, and be sure to visit the Better Business Bureau for even more in the way of FIVE-STAR reviews.  Don’t do business with any gold company until you have checked it out.


Posted in ClientInsights, Today's top gold news and opinion |

Favorite web pages

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Graphic of black swan on gold circleBlackSwansYellowGold
How gold performs during periods of deflation,
disinflation, stagflation and hyperinflation

“That men do not learn very much from the lessons of history is the most important of all the lessons of history.”
–– Aldous Huxley ––

Though Huxley’s observation is readily applied to humanity collectively, it does not apply so easily to individual investors. As justification, we offer the ongoing (and long-term) success of the USAGOLD website as well as the soaring statistics on the growth of private gold ownership over the past decade both in the United States and abroad, inspired directly by the lessons learned from financial market upheaval. The following short essays are dedicated to the safe-haven gold investor who, like noted financial author Nicholas Taleb, believes that it is just as important to prepare for what we cannot foresee as what we can.


BlackSwansYellowGold Series

Gold as a deflation hedge

Gold as a disinflation hedge

Gold as a stagflation hedge

Gold as hyperinflation hedge

Gold as the portfolio choice for all seasons

A chronology of panics, mania, crashes and collapses
(400 BC to present)

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Posted in Announcements, Favorite web pages, Today's top gold news and opinion | Tagged |

USAGOLD’s Online Order Desk

photo of pile of various gold coins featuring American gold Eagle, one ounce

Great prices. Quick delivery. All the time.
We invite your visit and participation.

Our Online Order Desk offers state-of-the-art transactional technology that allows you to order anytime day or night and on the weekends at current gold and silver spot prices from your desktop, pad or mobile device.  The items presented for sale are among the most popular with investors and are organized into four broad categories of investor interest:

Modern gold coins and bars
American Eagle • American Buffalo • Canadian Maple Leaf • Austrian Philharmonic • South African Krugerrand • Australian Kangaroo

Modern silver bullion coins and bars
American Eagle • Canadian Maple Leaf • Austrian Philharmonic • United States Pre-1965 Silver Coin Bag • Silver Bullion Bars • United States Morgan and Peace Silver Dollar

Historic fractional gold coins
British sovereign kings • Swiss 20 franc • Dutch 10 guilder • German 20 marks • Select inventory currently available

Historic U.S. gold coins
$20 Liberty • $20 St. Gaudens • $10 Liberty • $10 Indian • Graded $20 Liberty and St. Gaudens – Mint State 63, 64 and 65

If you haven’t visited our Online Order Desk as yet, we invite you to take a test drive.


An important note on Special Offers

For those among our regular clientele who like to participate in our Special Offers, the Online Order Desk presents a clear advantage.  Because the number of items available is almost always limited and orders are reserved on a first-come, first served basis, the online system provides the opportunity to secure your orders quickly and confidently at your convenience any time day or night.  As our regular participants already know, these offers can sell out quickly – often within 24-hours of announcement.  If you have not already registered, some advance planning might be in order.


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ONLINE ORDER DESK-24/7

Posted in ClientInsights, Today's top gold news and opinion |

Germany repatriates about half of its gold reserves

But with Europe stumbling from crisis to crisis, the German public has grown uneasy about keeping the gold abroad. Some even argue the world’s second biggest bullion reserve may be needed to back a new deutschmark, should the euro zone break up.Reuters, 2-9-2017

“Germany has a stronger relationship with gold than most nations. The country’s experience with hyperinflation between 1919 and 1923, during the years of the Weimar Republic, is ingrained in the national consciousness. Gold, above all, stands for stability” Financial Times, 11-10-2017

German silver industry metal with bars and coins stacked, Deutsche Bundesbank medalGermany completed its scheduled transfer of national gold reserves from the New York Fed and the Bank of France in 2017.  It will now leave 1236 tonnes at the New York Fed and another 432 tonnes in London.  The remainder of its 3378-tonne national holding will be stored in Frankfurt. The repatriation transfers to Frankfurt were completed three years ahead of schedule.

With respect to the gold left at the Fed, Bundesbank’s Carl-Ludwig Thiele told reporters: “We have a lot of discussions about (U.S. President Donald) Trump, regarding implications on monetary policy, macroeconomics, etc., but we trust the central bank of the U.S.”

Thiele’s confidence in the Federal Reserve brings to mind an old story about Germany’s relationship with the Federal Reserve and the storage of its gold reserves. When Hjalmar Schacht, head of Germany’s central bank in the 1920s, visited the New York Fed he asked to see Germany’s gold stored in its vaults.

“Strong**,” wrote Schacht in a 1955 autobiography, “was proud to be able to show us the vaults which were situated in the deepest cellar of the building and remarked: ‘Now, Herr Schacht, you shall see where the Reichsbank gold is kept.’” Storage staff went off to retrieve the gold.  “At length,” Schacht goes on, “we were told: ‘Mr. Strong, we can’t find the Reichsbank gold.’”  To which Schacht replied: “Never mind; I believe you when you say the gold is there. Even if it weren’t you are good for its replacement.”

One need presume that nearly 100 years later, the level of trust conveyed by Schacht remains in place. It is unlikely that Germany would depart the euro anytime soon and back a new Deutschmark with gold.  Having an asset set aside, though, that is detached from erratic national currencies in this day and age is a wise move for the prudent nation-state – just as it is for the prudent private investor.

–– MK


** New York Fed president at the time, Benjamin Strong

Repost from 2/10/2017, updated October, 2019. The Financial Times article linked at the top of the page tells the fascinating inside story of Germany’s gold repatriation.

Posted in MK, RepostKeepers, Today's top gold news and opinion |

What’s better? A gold ETF or outright ownership of the real thing?

Not a day goes by, that one gold ETF or another is reporting on the gains to its stockpile.  Most of those gains come from financial institutions and hedge funds boosting their portfolio positions.  We do not in any way denigrate the importance of this Wall Street move to gold. In fact, their presence in the gold market has been one of the market mainstays over the past few years and a welcome addition to the ranks of gold owners.

At the same time, for the Main Street safe-haven investor ownership through an ETF might not be the best approach. Gold ETFs, says Simon Black of the SovereignMan website, are “purely a financial product that defeats the entire purpose of owning gold to begin with. Why turn one of the best, longest-standing physical assets in the history of the world into a paper asset? With this type of debt instrument, you don’t actually own the gold yourself. You become a creditor with nothing more than a claim on someone else’s gold.” At USAGOLD, we have an answer for that . . .

The Precious Metals Safe Storage Advantage

Image of golden safe doorIt only takes a few minutes to complete a Precious Metals Safe Storage account opening form, but it could mean all the difference for the investor seeking a superior alternative to gold and silver ETFs. We use the word “superior” because depository storage accounts come with an option not readily available in most ETF accounts – You can take delivery of the metal in your account, or any portion of it, whenever you wish.

At the same time, given the exclusive preferred referral storage rate you receive by opening your storage account through USAGOLD, the annual cost to maintain your holdings is comparable (and often lower) to what most ETF vendors charge in annual fees. All the while, your metal is stored safely and fully insured at one of America’s oldest, largest and respected independent depositories – a firm with which we personally have done business for decades. To get started, we invite you to go to the link immediately below and fill out the application.

Account Form – Precious Metals Storage Account


Interested in gold but struggling to find the right firm?
DISCOVER THE USAGOLD DIFFERENCE
ORDER DESK:1-800-869-5115 x100/orderdesk@usagold.com
ONLINE ORDER DESK-24/7
Posted in ClientInsights, Today's top gold news and opinion | Tagged |

Better Business Bureau Five Star Review

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Recent Better Business Bureau Client Review

I made my first purchase of gold about 5 years ago and it was with USAGOLD. They answered all my questions and allowed me to buy a larger amount than they usually allow for a first time buyer. They trusted me and it worked out fine for both parties. Their BBB rating was a big factor in me trusting them. Other firms looked pretty sketchy and I didn’t want to spend that much money on a shaky firm. Since then I have purchased coins quite a few times from USAGOLD and have never been disappointed with the quality of the coins. The whole staff is very professional and courteous and are not pushy at all. They treat you as a friend, not a number. They remember me as soon as I tell them my name. That is a nice feeling. I will continue to buy from them and I highly recommend them.

Jim W.

Scorecard: 38 45 4853 58 five star reviews. Zero complaints.
A+ rating. Accredited since 1991.

[Link]

USAGOLD Recommendation: The precious metals industry is unique in the financial industry in that it is not subject to oversight or regulation by third-party government entities like the SEC or CFTC. As such, marketplace forums and feedback sites often serve as a replacement for investors attempting due diligence. While several options can be found, by far the most impartial and least susceptible to vested influence is the Better Business Bureau. When looking at a company’s BBB profile, don’t focus solely on the rating. To be honest, pretty much everybody has an ‘A’ or ‘A+’ rating. What is far more important to assess is the number and nature of complaints, number and caliber of positive and negative reviews, longevity with the BBB, as well as the number of ‘stars’ given a company through the actual customer review system.

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Posted in ClientInsights, Today's top gold news and opinion | Tagged |

Short and Sweet

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Why the U.S. needs to encourage Americans to hold gold

graphic image of gold eagle and the stars and stripes

We have always believed that citizen ownership of physical gold is in the national best interest, not just the best interest of its accumulators. In the event of a worldwide economic breakdown or a realignment of the global monetary system, it would be good for the country to have a storehouse of gold held by the populace. China encourages citizen gold ownership for precisely that reason.

“With a growing number of countries encouraging their central banks and citizens to acquire gold,” writes The Federalists Sean Fieler, “it is increasingly reasonable to assume that gold will be part of the world’s monetary future, not just its past. The U.S. Treasury should embrace policies that will attract more of the world’s gold to America and better position our citizens and our nation for whatever the monetary future may hold.”


Interested in gold but struggling to find the right firm?
DISCOVER THE USAGOLD DIFFERENCE
ORDER DESK:1-800-869-5115 x100/orderdesk@usagold.com
ONLINE ORDER DESK-24/7

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