Central Banks Pace Buying as Iran Diplomacy Anchors Demand

On April 6, 2026, gold and silver prices in the physical precious metals market opened the week navigating competing forces as Iran ceasefire diplomacy collided with a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report. Gold spot price is trading at $4,668.98 per ounce, down $8.68 (-0.19%) on the day. Silver spot price is trading at $73.59 per ounce, up $0.17 (+0.23%) on the day. The gold/silver ratio stands at 63.4, reflecting gold’s continued relative strength after silver shed more than 19% in March — its steepest monthly decline since 2011. A robust March nonfarm payrolls print of 178,000 jobs — the largest monthly gain in over a year — reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates higher for longer, suppressing investment demand for non-yielding physical metals. Reports of active U.S.-Iran ceasefire negotiations involving regional mediators simultaneously contained gold’s downside, keeping geopolitical risk premiums embedded in bullion pricing. Competing signals from Washington — simultaneous diplomatic outreach and renewed threats to strike Iranian energy infrastructure — are holding physical buyers in a cautious but engaged posture, with Goldman Sachs maintaining its $5,400/oz year-end target on the basis of continued central bank accumulation and anticipated Fed rate cuts in the second half of 2026.

Published April 2, 2026 by the World Gold Council at gold.org, the latest central bank gold statistics report confirms that global monetary institutions bought a net 19 tonnes of gold in February 2026 — affirming that sovereign demand remains a structural pillar of the daily precious metals market. The insight most physical investors will miss: net central bank buying year-to-date through February stands at just 25 tonnes, less than half the 50 tonnes purchased through the same period in 2025, signaling that central banks are deliberately pacing their acquisitions as gold spot price today trades near all-time highs above $4,600. Poland led all buyers with 20 tonnes in February — its largest single-month purchase since February 2025 — bringing total reserves to 570 tonnes (31% of national reserves) as it advances toward a stated 700-tonne target. China extended its streak to 16 consecutive months of net purchases, the Czech Republic reached 36 straight months of buying, and Uzbekistan posted its fifth consecutive month of accumulation with reserves now representing 88% of total national holdings. The structural read for physical investors: central banks are not retreating from gold — they are pacing themselves at record prices. Poland’s trajectory toward 700 tonnes, Uganda’s newly launched domestic gold acquisition program targeting 100 kilograms per quarter from domestic producers, and Kenya’s signaled intent to build reserves all confirm a broadening institutional buyer base expanding from Asia into Eastern Europe and Africa. For investors building or adding to physical gold positions through pre-1933 gold coins or modern bullion, this sustained sovereign accumulation confirms the multi-year bull market is demand-driven at its core — not speculation-driven — a critical distinction when evaluating whether to hold or add through short-term price weakness.

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