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Gold Slides as Dollar Rallies

by Peter A. Grant

September 02, AM
(from USAGOLD.com) --

Gold slid to an eleven-week low in overseas trading, after negating support marked by the 21-Aug low at 1272.75. Expectations of diverging monetary policies between the Fed and ECB have served to weaken the euro, pushing the dollar higher.

The EUR-USD rate has extended to the downside, establishing a fresh one-year low at 1.3107, as the Ukrainian crisis continues to escalate and the ECB considers additional measures to boost the moribund European economy. The ECB announces monetary policy, and Mario Draghi will hold a press conference on Thursday. Based on recent price action in the euro and European bonds, markets seem to be expecting some action from the central bank.

Meanwhile, speculation that the Fed will move in the opposite direction persists. This morning's better than expected construction spending and manufacturing ISM prints lend credence to that scenario.

August jobs data comes out on Friday. Median expectations are +220k for nonfarm payrolls and the jobless rate is expected to tick lower to 6.1%. A beat on this front would likely put additional pressure on the Fed to tighten.

However, the dove-dominated Fed may be inclined to stall for a while longer; perhaps to see what steps the ECB takes (and BoJ too?) and if they are at all successful. I don't think Yellen wants to be completely diverging from the ECB and BoJ and would probably prefer to hold-steady while the others ease further.

Opinions expressed in commentary on the USAGOLD.com website do not constitute an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any precious metals product, nor should they be viewed in any way as investment advice or advice to buy, sell or hold. USAGOLD, Inc. recommends the purchase of physical precious metals for asset preservation purposes, not speculation. Utilization of these opinions for speculative purposes is neither suggested nor advised. Commentary is strictly for educational purposes, and as such USAGOLD does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information found here.


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