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Daily FX

Gold Range Bound After GDP Beat, Awaits Fed

by Peter A. Grant

Jul 30, AM
(from USAGOLD.com) --

Gold remains within the recent range, but has been somewhat choppy intraday after a better than expected advance Q2 GDP report and as the market awaits the FOMC policy statement. Geopolitical tensions continue to underpin the yellow metal.

GDP rebounded to a 4.0% annual pace in Q2. That was much better than the +2.9% the market was expecting and goes a long way toward offsetting the dismal decline in Q1. However, the beat has been largely dismissed by the market.

Gold sold off initially down to 1291.50, but then popped back above $1300, before settling into a narrow range just below $1300. Stocks gave back early gains as analysts noted that much of the Q2 rebound was attributable to inventory building.

"We do not view the outperformance in this report as a signal that the outlook for growth has improved," said Barclays. A Wall Street Journal headline read: Modest Growth Beneath the Surface Keeps Fed on Track. The implication being that the initial Q2 number was not so great as to change what the Fed has been doing of late.

The Fed is expected to hold steady on rates later today and reduce asset purchases by another $10 bln. Treasury yields suggest that forecasts for a rate hike early in 2015 perhaps gained a little credence today.

Opinions expressed in commentary on the USAGOLD.com website do not constitute an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any precious metals product, nor should they be viewed in any way as investment advice or advice to buy, sell or hold. USAGOLD, Inc. recommends the purchase of physical precious metals for asset preservation purposes, not speculation. Utilization of these opinions for speculative purposes is neither suggested nor advised. Commentary is strictly for educational purposes, and as such USAGOLD does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information found here.

 

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