The Fourth Turning: How bad will it get, how long will it last and what comes next?

Wealthion/Neil Howe interview with Adam Taggart/10-15-2021

graphic representation of waves generated at sea headed for shore

“The whole problem every time you go into a fourth turning is that by the time you’re entering a new fourth turning every generation who has had any adult experience handling a crisis is too old to serve.”

USAGOLD note: It has become our custom to annually post an update of Neil Howe’s thinking in advance of the new year. Howe, as many of you already know, is the co-author (along with William Strauss, now deceased) of The Fourth Turning – the prescient analysis of long-term, generational cycles that first hit the bookstores in 1997. In this interview posted at the Wealthion website, he tells Adam Taggart that “the weight of history strongly suggests we are headed into a decade-plus period of economic and social disruption that will transform our political, economic, financial and social systems. Volatility will reign. Crushing inflation looks likely. We may see a stock market crash and widespread job losses. Perhaps even war.” For those unfamiliar with Howe’s theories, this is a full immersion that will likely change the way you see the march of history and what might lie ahead – from the master theorist himself.


“The next Fourth Turning is due to begin shortly after the new millennium, midway through the Oh-Oh decade. Around the year 2005, a sudden spark will catalyze a Crisis mood. Remnants of the old social order will disintegrate. Political and economic trust will implode. Real hardship will beset the land, with severe distress that could involve questions of class, race, nation, and empire.” – Neil Howe and William Strauss, The Fourth Turning (1997)

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