Silver specs push bullish bets to highest in over a year

Through Tuesday, February 5, 2018
Charts and commentary courtesy of CountingPips.com
Tables courtesy of GoldSeek

Note: Commitment of Traders reports are published Friday with data from the previous Tuesday.

Important notice from the CFTC on post-shutdown reporting schedule: “The last COT report was published on December 21, 2018. Reports going forward from that date will be published in chronological order beginning with the report previously scheduled for release on Friday, December 28, 2018 (based on data from Monday, December 24, 2018). The CFTC expects to publish this report on Friday, February 1, 2019. After this, the CFTC expects to publish one report on Tuesday and another on Friday of each week until the reports are current as per the normal schedule.”


Gold speculators boosted bullish bets for 2nd week into February

Gold Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large precious metals speculators raised their bullish net positions in the Gold futures markets into February, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of Gold futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 109,095 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday February 5th. This was a weekly advance of 9,502 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of 99,593 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position (longs) increasing by 5,882 contracts to a weekly total of 218,200 contracts compared to the gross bearish position (shorts) which saw a decrease by -3,620 contracts for the week to a total of 109,105 contracts.

The speculative net position rose for a second week through February 5th after dropping in the previous three weeks. The gold standing bounced back over the +100,000 net contract level for the first time in six weeks.

Gold Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of -131,242 contracts on the week. This was a weekly decrease of -12,633 contracts from the total net of -118,609 contracts reported the previous week.

Gold Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the Gold Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $1319.20 which was an increase of $10.30 from the previous close of $1308.90, according to unofficial market data.


Silver specs push bullish bets to highest level in over a year

 

Silver Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large precious metals speculators continued to advance their bullish net positions in the Silver futures markets, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of Silver futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 57,095 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday February 5th. This was a weekly rise of 2,812 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of 54,283 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position (longs) advancing by 3,794 contracts to a weekly total of 89,868 contracts compared to the gross bearish position (shorts) which saw a gain by 982 contracts for the week to a total of 32,773 contracts.

The speculative net position rose for a second straight week through February 5th and for the eighth time in the previous ten weeks. The silver standing rose to the highest level since November 28th of 2017 which is a span of sixty-three weeks.

Silver Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of -78,204 contracts on the week. This was a weekly decline of -5,742 contracts from the total net of -72,462 contracts reported the previous week.

Silver Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the Silver Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $1583.60 which was a shortfall of $-0.30 from the previous close of $1583.90, according to unofficial market data.


US Dollar Index speculators cut bets for 3rd week

US Dollar Index Speculator Positions:

Large currency speculators continued to slightly cut back on their bullish net positions in the US Dollar Index futures markets into February, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of US Dollar Index futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 30,778 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday February 5th. This was a weekly lowering of -236 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 31,014 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position (longs) lowering by -2,685 contracts to a weekly total of 45,640 contracts which more than offset the gross bearish position (shorts) which saw a decline by -2,449 contracts for the week to a total of 14,862 contracts.


*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).
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