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Discussion Topics -- March 15, 2013
Bullish Sentiment Readings for
Stocks and Gold Foretelling
What's Next?

(March 15, 2013 discussion) Coincidence? Apple stock started to decline rapidly following its peak at just above $700/share in September of 2012. Shortly after the decline gained momentum, the Dow Jones Industrial Average started to inexplicably climb, charging 2000 points higher in 4 months, culminating in the all time highs we are currently seeing. Is it possible that the fuel that propelled the DJIA to an-all time high was just a transfer of funds coming out of Apple stock? It's not too crazy when you consider that the lost market cap in Apple's decline is the equivalent of an entire Microsoft or GE. Bullish sentiment in the stock market is at 90%. In other words, 90% of polled analysts/investors believe the stock market is headed higher, where only 10% disagree. By comparison, 95% of respondents think gold is going lower, with only 5% taking a bullish stance. The last time there was a such a disparity in bullish sentiment between stocks and gold was in 2007...the last time the DJIA peaked at 14K and change and gold was trading in the $700 range. We all remember what took place in the following year, 2008. Also discussed is the evolution of Japanese monetary policy with the confirmation of Kuroda, the threat of Fed policy changes, and developing LIBOR-esque inquiry into the London gold market. 31 Minutes, with Jonathan Kosares, Peter Grant and George Cooper.

Figure 1

Apple Inc. Stock March 2013

Figure 2

Dow Jones Industrial Avg. March 2013

Figure 3

10 year treasury

Figure 4

Gold Chart March 2013

Figure 5

Gold vs. Money Supply March 2013 Graph

Figure 6

Gold in Yen March 2013 Graph


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