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Discussion Topics -- January 15, 2010

Gold was the Best Performing Asset of the Last Decade...
Could This Decade be Even Better?

Investments in gold outperformed every other asset class for the past decade. Stocks, meanwhile, experienced their worst-ever decade. While most investors have been woefully overweight in traditional stocks and bonds, less than 5 percent of investors have had gold in their portfolio. Looking forward, a natural and rational desire among the population at large to have a more truly diversified portfolio suggests that there remains great scope to increase the number of participants in the gold market; however, even a modest level of participation would swamp the limited supply in light of declining annual production from mines. The outcome is higher prices as necessary to reconcile higher demand with available supply. The long-term downtrend in the dollar is likely to continue, especially in light of the ponderous U.S. national debt, thus arguing for further diversification into gold among both foreign and domestic dollar-holders as a preemptive means to preserve their wealth. The investment fundamentals from many angles converge to illuminate a bright future for gold. Featuring Pete Grant, Jonathan Kosares and George Cooper.

Figure 1 - source USAGOLD Live Prices
10-year gold price

Figure 2 - courtesy of The Chart Store
dow adjusted for inflation

Figure 3 - courtesy of The Chart Store
dow gold ratio

Figure 4 - courtesy of Zeal LLC
gold production

Figure 5 - courtesy of The Chart Store
dollar index

Figure 6 - courtesy of Ed Hall
national debt

Auxiliary info...
sample portfolio 1

sample portfolio 2

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