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Welcome to the USAGOLD Gold Discussion Archives. The archives of this gold discussion forum are a treasure trove of information to educate investors about protecting their wealth through portfolio diversification with private gold ownership. The discussion forum also covers the wider issues of the past, present, and future role of gold in international monetary policy and the dynamics of the modern gold markets...

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ARCHIVED DISCUSSION FROM 5/9/2002
All times are U.S. Mountain Time

(Yesterday's Discussion.)

YGM (05/09/02; 23:05:40MT - usagold.com msg#: 75316)
JCTex (05/09/02; 21:48:10MT - usagold.com msg#: 75308)
I Still Have my Tin Hat.....
Curious @ GE Forum gave me one years ago....I wear it when I go to various sites looking for Gold among Pyrites...
(grin) It keeps the Alien Bankers from reading my mind and
deflects brain pulse weapons quite well....Tinfoil works also, but hammered Gold is best.....YGM :>)


Pizz (05/09/02; 23:02:46MT - usagold.com msg#: 75315)
Mr. Gresham
Re: The Fekete link.

I've read this before, it's extremely long, confusing, and has the tendencies to mix a lot of apples and oranges together. It has some merit, but I really question the practicality of the message. I'll try to give it some thought this weekend and summarize, but keep in mind, it may be an accountant(s) that finally bring our current financial world to it's end, but it will only be by showing that the emporer really has no clothes. (Typing and spelling are really a _____ when your mad and a few scotches into the wind) Cash is what kills commerce, and the only reason Enron failed was their ability to keep borrowing was severly curtailed.

I'm probably rambling, so I better read some light stuff and get off the keyboard.

Pizz


Waverider (05/09/02; 22:51:53MT - usagold.com msg#: 75314)
Japan's rating wars: Whose default is it?
http://www.atimes.com/japan-econ/DE09Dh01.html
Snippit:
"It's time to give Japan a break on falling sovereign ratings - like maybe another decade, to be fair - and give the lousy economy opportunity to right itself. And to really square things, just roll the ratings back up to AAA, where the world's second largest (and least likely to default) economy belongs; not surfing rat-bottom in the pile of Group of Seven industrial countries.

That is just about the gist of the message the Japanese government sent in what appear to be unprecedented letters to the top three international rating agencies - Standard & Poor's, Moody's Investors Service and Fitch Ratings - just before Japan's Golden Week holidays began in late April."

Waverider: A good article on the consequences of another downgrade of Japanese government bonds. Moody's is expected to downgrade to single-A as early as next week, putting Japan on the same level as Hungary, Malaysia and Botswana.


Horatio (05/09/02; 22:47:17MT - usagold.com msg#: 75313)
Barrick & Anglo
I posted here about a year ago that hedgeing was a plot by S.A.mines to get assets out of S.Africa.The idea was to borrow gold from central banks ,give them a mortgage on the mines assets.Then sell the borrowed gold and transfer the cash out of the country to avoid confiscation from the Marxist S.African politicans.The confiscators would get the mines alright,but 10 years of future production would belong to the bank!A brilliant ploy!!My theory was when they got all they could get ,hedging would be over!!
Here's the final part of the plot....Barrick merges with Anglo,Anglo transfers real assets to Canada...Barrick transfers hedges to S.Africa and spins off that division back to S.Africa for the final coup ...The time is near....


Mr Gresham (05/09/02; 22:36:06MT - usagold.com msg#: 75312)
Pizz!!!
http://www.safehaven.com/Editorials/Fekete050702.htm
YOU'RE the guy! So much of what you arrive at comes from common-sense (and personal experience in) accounting -- look at the Antal Fekete link and see if he's on track with the "Law of Assets" and "Law of Liabilities", if there IS a silent plundering of productive assets by balance sheet transfers as interest rates fall (artificially via Fed monetizing, and gold prohibition or inhibition)...

Pizz (05/09/02; 22:22:54MT - usagold.com msg#: 75311)
Correction to last post
Insert "not" before "happening" in the last paragraph.

Pizz


Pizz (05/09/02; 22:18:19MT - usagold.com msg#: 75310)
Confirmation of the coming Storm
Or when the short term hype over the last 9 month causes more pain and suffering than prudence, truth, and intelligent management could have done a meer year ago.

A story:

A short 9 months ago(prior to 911) a new and somewhat controversial CFO sat in board meeting and advised the stockholders that in his opinion, the 20 year expansion that their industry had been priviledged to participate within, was coming to an end.

The advice given was to consolidate, shore up cash resources, cut marketing expenses, and forego the expansion plans currently on the agenda. The major stockholders were all successful marketing types, more worried about their tax bite resulting from an excessive amount of short term debt accumulated over the past 20 years that was returning a compounded 5% annual return. The businesses had been financed with short term debt rather than capital, and all profits had been rolled into more entities, and more short term debt, and more profits up to that time.

Needless to say, the standard media/economic hype we (still)listen to everyday was thrown back at this CFO, and being new, his career at that time was challenged to say the least, and his advice was treated as as something less than the little boy who cried "wolf".

As September rolled around, business was flat to declining, but with The FED having lowered interest rates aggressivly all year, the turnaround was just around the corner (right!). The stockholders knew cash flow had deterioriated, but not to worry, the FED induced recovery was just around the corner. Besides, even though sales were down, interest on the short term debt was so low, that inventories were being increased in anticipation of the boom to come.

Then 911. No problem the stockholders said, the FED is taking care of us, and it's short term. Besides, so what if we go to war, war time economies are bullish - where private industry slows, the government will pick up the pace. What? Stop the expansion and take a loss as the CFO recommends? If we do that, we won't be able to meet our current expectations for 2003. What, we have a cash flow problem? Don't worry, it's there if we need it. What? You say we need capital rather than more short term debt? We haven't for the last 20 years, you'll just have to get along with what you have and we can always borrow more.

Well, now it's a short 6 months later, and the stockholders are now looking at their cash position, their exponetially increasing losses, a refinancing program that took 3 months to put together, and the cash generated from the refinance which will be burned within the next four months.

Their current cure? Cut administrative expense 30% which will have about the same net effect as losing 99 dollars instead of $100. But the good news? The CFO will not be able to function, and the financial reporting will deteriorate to the point that they will be able to plug their own numbers into the financial statements in a vain attempt to keep their financing lines intact (with a little Enron type accounting).
_______________________________________

Think the above is fiction and it's happening world wide? Think again. I'm as bout as close to this CFO as you can possibly get, all I have to do is look in the mirror.

Pizz




Black Blade (05/09/02; 22:15:27MT - usagold.com msg#: 75309)
May Department Stores to Lay Off 1,200 Kaufmann's Employees
http://biz.yahoo.com/djus/020509/200205091230000642_1.html

PITTSBURGH -- May Department Stores Co . (MAY) will lay off 1,200 employees at its Kaufmann's stores as part of the recent consolidation of Kaufmann's and Filene's stores.


Black Blade: The ones who are left will be more "productive". I guess next month's productivity data will improve. 1,200 off to the growing "Bone Pile".


JCTex (05/09/02; 21:48:10MT - usagold.com msg#: 75308)
YGM (05/09/02; 18:02:31MT - usagold.com msg#: 75294)
I won't tell anybody what else is on that site, if you won't. Michael might jerk our privileges, here, if he finds out.

At best, he might make us wear tinfoil helmets when we post here.

If the tax-paying public ever gets off its dead bu## and figures this Federal Reserve thing out, they will revolt. I hope I live long enough to see it. It's deserved.


YGM (05/09/02; 21:18:44MT - usagold.com msg#: 75307)
EagleOne...
Speaking for myself only...
I have the greatest respect for the men & women of the US armed forces....I learned from my father the reality of what the USA stood for and what a world we'd have had if not for the tenacity, courage and lives lost by them. I think one must not confuse criticism of US monetary policy with our love of the greatest free nation the world has ever seen....I'll stand up for an honest American anyday, anywhere!...Regards & Good to see you here...You remind me of an old friend at Gold Eagle...(goArmy)....YGM.

YGM (05/09/02; 21:06:47MT - usagold.com msg#: 75306)
Mr. Gresham...
Yes I agree wholeheartedly, it does seem much more relative with what we now see going on ie: Japan etc. I had to re-read myself as it's been a couple years since last read.
Yes Vanity and narrow mindedness make their mission much too easy. It does sound like a couple fellows we know :>)
It sure reinforced my belief and perception of other info I've rec'd.....It is still not easy to believe or comprehend even after all these years of reinforcement at many levels.....As FOA likes to say..."Interesting Times We Live In, Yes"....We trudge on & "PERSEVERE" together!


EagleOne (05/09/02; 21:02:31MT - usagold.com msg#: 75305)
Fifty seven years ago
http://www.lodz.pdi.net/pigulki/issue19/p19sikorski.html
Do any of our world-wide posters remember the anniversary of V-E day? I propose that few here, if any, would be collecting gold if Nazi Germany had won the war and if the United States had not rebuilt Europe through the Marshall Plan. US bashers sometime need to be reminded to be thankful for their very existance. End of rant. I will not comment further or reply to dissenters.

Nomad (05/09/02; 20:09:16MT - usagold.com msg#: 75304)
Tax Collections Down and Down and Down ...
http://www.nytimes.com/2002/05/09/business/09CND-TAX.html


ASHINGTON, May 9 — The Congressional Budget Office said today that tax receipts through April were $75 billion below its projections, insuring that the federal budget deficit this year will be far bigger than anticipated.

Confirming preliminary figures made public by government officials several weeks ago, the budget office said receipts were $60 billion lower than projected just in April, the month in which revenues typically surge as individuals file their income tax returns.

The shortfall reflected the downturn in the economy last year, especially after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.

Economists said the problem appeared to stem in particular from the lackluster stock market, which generated little in the way of capital gains and depressed compensation among people who are paid partly with stock options.

Before the shortfall became apparent, the budget office had been projecting a deficit of $46 billion for the fiscal year that ends Sept. 30. A $75 billion shortfall would bring the deficit to $121 billion. The total federal budget this year is about $2.1 trillion.

But the deficit is likely to be even bigger, perhaps by as much as $150 billion, by the time the government closes its books on the year, economists said.



Black Blade (05/09/02; 20:09:15MT - usagold.com msg#: 75303)
Bush's master oil plan
http://japantoday.com/e/?content=comment&id=180

Snippit:

With so many new international crises erupting every day, it is hard to detect any clear forward direction to American U.S. foreign policy. At times, it appears that providing a response to the latest upheaval is about all that Washington can accomplish. But beneath the surface of day-to-day crisis management, one can see signs of an overarching plan for U.S. policy: a strategy of global oil acquisition.

In recent weeks, the Bush administration has taken bold steps to implement this strategy in several far-flung regions of the world. In the Caspian Sea basin — said to harbor the second biggest reservoir of untapped petroleum after the Persian Gulf — the United States is building new military bases and providing training to local defense forces. In Colombia, U.S.-equipped government forces will soon be guarding the Occidental Petroleum Company's Cano Limon oil pipeline. And in Venezuela — America's third largest supplier of oil — U.S. embassy personnel reportedly met with leaders of an abortive coup against President Hugo Chavez.

But it is also true that the areas that are garnering the greatest degree of attention from Washington — the Middle East, the Caspian Sea basin, and the Andean region — are also areas that figure prominently in the administration's long-term energy strategy. The aim of this strategy is simple: to procure as much of the world's oil for ravenous U.S. markets as possible. With domestic U.S. production facing progressive decline and national consumption rising with every passing day, the United States must obtain more and more of its oil from abroad.


Black Blade: The major point is that the US is running out of "cheap energy" that is easy to get and abundant in supply. The need for energy to fuel the US economy is critical and as described in the article we will use military force at all costs to get it. Without an adequate supply of energy, the US is just another Third World country.



goldquest (05/09/02; 19:54:14MT - usagold.com msg#: 75302)
Frantic Friday Approching
Gaza Strip errupts, Dow and Naz loses all of their gains made Wed.
Gold crawls out of the foxhole and continues to march. Gold closes at $316.00 + - .50


Mr Gresham (05/09/02; 19:45:38MT - usagold.com msg#: 75301)
YGM == The Sting
http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_98/birch030498.html
I remember that one from back when we were first getting started -- makes more sense now to me -- sounds like someone else we know, who may even know some of the same people. Far-fetched as a plan to be kept secret, but maybe the vanity of some people just makes it "unthinkable" and easy to "hide" even if the action is right there under their noses.

Others know they can switch sides ("Ah, yes; our chalet at Gstaad!") when they need to; others may believe they were giving Americans a better life for awhile -- who can argue with "Good Times"? "It's Morning in America."


Black Blade (05/09/02; 19:43:36MT - usagold.com msg#: 75300)
IBM workers fear the axe
http://money.cnn.com/2002/05/09/technology/ibm/index.htm

Employees union says layoffs expected to amount to as much as 10% of U.S. work force.

Snippit:

NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - Workers at International Business Machines Corp. are bracing for layoffs that could affect as much as 10 percent of the company's U.S. work force, according to a representative of an IBM employees union. "People are getting very nervous inside IBM," said Lee Conrad, national coordinator for the Alliance@IBM, an affiliate of the Communications Workers of America representing about 4,000 IBM employees. "There's a real sense of foreboding," Conrad said.

Conrad said some IBM divisions, including its server and microelectronics divisions, already have begun quietly telling some employees to expect layoffs starting as early as next week. "We expect announcements to start coming next week and continuing for the next three weeks after that," Conrad said. "We're hearing anything up to about 10 percent across the board." Roughly 160,000 of IBM's global work force is based in the U.S.


Black Blade: We are looking at perhaps 16,000 marched off to the growing "Bone Pile". I brought this possibility up about IBM a few days ago. It finally has come. The earnings picture for IBM is – shall I say it? – "GRIM"



YGM (05/09/02; 19:42:29MT - usagold.com msg#: 75299)
Devvy Kidd Article Index
http://www.devvy.com/money0.html
Hope somebody reads this stuff. Some here have for years but it should always be shown anew, for those who have not...YGM.

Black Blade (05/09/02; 19:32:13MT - usagold.com msg#: 75298)
Continuing claims at 19-year high - "Bone Pile" Files
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?dist=dhtml&siteid=mktw&guid=%7B5ECF438D%2D93F7%2D4899%2D85F6%2D81B09E610331%7D

Import prices jump as dollar weakens, oil surges

Snippit:

WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) - The number of American workers receiving state unemployment benefits rose by 61,000 to a 19-year high of 3.8 million in recent weeks, the Labor Department said Thursday.

Black Blade: A song for the BLS – "No Where To Run, No Where To Hide".



YGM (05/09/02; 19:30:04MT - usagold.com msg#: 75297)
Canuck....All...One Last Link & I'll Butt Out....
http://www.devvy.com/churchill_19991229.html
This is a keeper......"The Greatest Story Never Told"

Winston Churchill and the Crash of 1929.....

The more this stuff gets around the more folks will own Gold and Silver....The Banker Cabal hates transparency and the Web puts the light of day on anyones screen that takes the time to learn the truth....YGM


Black Blade (05/09/02; 19:25:11MT - usagold.com msg#: 75296)
U.S. Economy: Number of Workers on Unemployment Rolls Swell
http://quote.bloomberg.com/fgcgi.cgi?ptitle=Top%20Financial%20News&s1=blk&tp=ad_topright_topfin&T=markets_bfgcgi_content99.ht&s2=ad_right1_topfin&bt=ad_position1_topfin&middle=ad_frame2_topfin&s=APNqW7xVAVS5TLiBF

Snippit:

Washington, May 9 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. worker claims for jobless benefits fell less than expected last week and the number of Americans collecting aid rose to a 19-year high, suggesting the labor market isn't improving as the economy recovers from recession.

The unemployment rate, which rose to 6 percent in April, a 7 1/2-year high, may climb as high as 6.5 percent in coming months as companies are slow to hire, Rupkey said. A labor market that shows few signs of improving helps explain why Federal Reserve policy makers this week left the overnight bank lending rate at a 40-year low of 1.75 percent, where it's been since December.

Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan said job growth is critical to the recovery because consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of the economy. ``Perhaps most central to the outlook for consumer spending will be developments in the labor market,'' he told Congress last month.



Black Blade: Aside from there being no economic recovery, the "Bone Pile" is at recession levels. 19 years ago (1983) the US was mired in a very deep recession. Then too, Pres. Reagan extended unemployment benefits. The point that should be foremost in every ones minds is that today the data is massaged with various filters (such as "seasonality") that are a government scam designed to hide the God awful truth. The US propaganda arm – the Bureau of Labor Statistics engages in this same activity in calculating the CPI and PPI, among other government statistics. The BLS could put Arthur Andersen to shame. Just wait until the recently announced layoffs begin to occur.



Black Blade (05/09/02; 19:04:50MT - usagold.com msg#: 75295)
CISCO'S EARNINGS REPORT VIEWED AS A SHELL GAME By JOHN CRUDELE
http://www.nypost.com/business/47539.htm

Snippit:

May 9, 2002 -- SYNTHETIC leases come and they go, but they apparently don't leave a trace. In the world of pro forma earnings - which I believe is Latin for "companies can report whatever they want" - nothing can come between what a company says and what Wall Street wants to hear.


Black Blade: I brought up Cisco's "synthetic lease" issue before and I had thought about again when Cisco brought up their earnings "Home Run", but then I decided why should I be the "turd in the punch bowl". I also thought about the non-expensing of options. Whatever. They are not alone. Microsoft, Novell, and Oracle also has engaged in this shell game. But hey, who cares about "off-the-books" accounting anyway – just ask Enron.



YGM (05/09/02; 18:02:31MT - usagold.com msg#: 75294)
"NEW"....Who Controls The Federal Reserve?...Part 1.
http://www.rense.com/general24/whocontrolsFED.htm
EXCERPT:

Now that we know the Federal Reserve is a privately owned, for-profit corporation, a natural question would be: who OWNS this company? Peter Kershaw provides the answer in "Economic Solutions" where he lists the ten primary shareholders in the Federal Reserve banking system.

1) The Rothschild Family - London 2) The Rothschild Family - Berlin 3) The Lazard Brothers - Paris 4) Israel Seiff - Italy 5) Kuhn-Loeb Company - Germany 6) The Warburgs - Amsterdam 7) The Warburgs - Hamburg 8) Lehman Brothers - New York 9) Goldman & Sachs - New York 10) The Rockefeller Family - New York

Now I don't know about you, but something is terribly wrong with this situation. Namely, don't we live in AMERICA? If so, why are seven of the top ten stockholders located in FOREIGN countries? That's 70%! To further convey how screwed-up this system is, Jim Marrs provides the following data in his phenomenal book, "Rule By Secrecy." He says that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, which undeniably controls the other eleven Federal Reserve branches, is essentially controlled by two financial institutions:

1) Chase-Manhattan (controlled by the Rockefellers) - 6,389,445 shares - 32.3%
2) Citbank - 4,051,851 shares - 20.5%

Thus, these two entities control nearly 53% of the New York Federal Reserve Bank.


YGM (5/9/02; 17:38:46MT - usagold.com msg#: 75293)
Canuck....The Sting.
http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_98/birch030498.html
BTW...this letter has probably caused more controversy than most any article I've read.....Not withstanding Reg Howes and GATA papers......YGM.

YGM (5/9/02; 17:28:18MT - usagold.com msg#: 75292)
Canuck....
Hi...Hey no apol'gs needed for anyone I can see! Sidelined money? Well others here (everyone) besides me could answer that better than I, but I feel in my gut that it's jumping in and out of anything that has a chance of even small moves. If the volume is big then they can shift out quickly. Hence the distortion we see when the SM's go up one day and down the next! Like a rabbit running from a fox and every hole he jumps down is crowded. I think smart money is also always patient money and has been moving to PMs for awhile and they've got the same befefits as those who tagged on the coat-tails of Gold Manipulation scam. That is they know the Cabal will dump all over the longs and shake out the weak hands repeatedly. Every time Gold & PM stocks move up they get the velvet hammmer and somebody gets cheap entry again...Just a vicious cycle! As for the N 49 over the fence conversation with the Banker exec nieghbour...Well that was heresay but from a rather good source and seemed very relevant and real at the time....When
North 49 asked him again days later to elaborate on the comment "Oh No is it happening already" he declined. This comment was made because Gold was having a run & GATA was just getting in full swing, and the Banker seemed to sense a calamity was going to happen and he'd known it would someday come.... Rather like the conversations I've had with the son in law of a long past CEO of R Bank Canada. He said his father in law has coached him for years to invest in PM's for the long haul and keep very little in Banks and paper....He told him that GATA was dead correct in their assumptions with respect to Gold Manipulation and the Bankers knew at some point the cat would be out of the bag.
I suggest you read "The Sting" (Mr Johnson's Letter to his son) if you can find it in the Gold-Eagle archives........
PS: I think my R B guy is in the know as he deals in 100's of tons of Gold....All I got was advice :>))


Mr Gresham (5/9/02; 17:24:29MT - usagold.com msg#: 75291)
Antal Fekete: Revisionist View of the Great Depression
http://www.safehaven.com/Editorials/Fekete050702.htm
A must read. Could start up discussion of fundamental fundamentals, "like in the old days" around here. This guy is on to something -- I wonder if there's a critical response to his thoughts, which I have not read elsewhere. The implications for the present are, of course, for a Greater Depression as a reflection of a greater destruction of capital.

I'm halfway through; all I can think of off the top of my head is, if you have an annihilation of productive capital, you are left only with a certain collection of tangible assets, an uncertain ownership and debt structure, and a question about how to regain productivity.

An "activist" government is likely to repeat Roosevelt's errors, and keep things muffled. End up with a "mafia economy" like Russia's in the 90's. Sure would like to hear what is developing out of that.


Mr Gresham (5/9/02; 17:10:12MT - usagold.com msg#: 75290)
LeSin
http://www.gold-eagle.com/gold_digest_02/vaughn051002.html
The Vaughn piece was great this morning -- good catch! All about the contending PTBs and how Barrick is set up to take the fall, while Anglogold goes on to carry the flag for the winning factions -- this is how these things grind out in other industries (and economic wars), so it rings true for the gold industry too. While our fortunes ride as the froth on the waves thrown out by these big tankers steaming by...

Canuck (5/9/02; 16:55:00MT - usagold.com msg#: 75289)
@ YGM
Dear Sir,

I also wish to apologize to you (and anyone else reading my distorted rant yesterday).

I almost went beserk this morning and swung a load into tech stocks. I shook my head, walked from the PC and went to work. The power of sidelined money ('cash') at this moment in time is scarey. We saw a hint of the mountain of cash yesterday. Where (and when) will this money be deployed?

I don't remember North of 49's neighbour, please remind me. Can you elaborate on the R.B CEO?

Canuck


Belgian (5/9/02; 16:26:56MT - usagold.com msg#: 75288)
The Gold-Conglomerate and the TG's Architects.....
Got inspired by the Arctifox posting (Thanks Sir) on James E. Sinclair (Mister Gold) and Chris Thompson's (WGC) statements as outgoing CEO of Gold Fields :
The Gold conglomerate is suspecting the existance of Architects (builders) that will use/incorporate Gold as a building material, with new applications, into the coming *new* currency construction ! Chris Thompson wants to make it possible for *INVESTORS* to buy and hold (!!!) Physical Gold. You don't decide such a policy lightly without some assurance (probability) that it will be (remain) succesfull well into ther future. It is some evidence for a growing concensus on Gold's future, without to much rear-mirror looking. Miners with their paper-shares of risky underground gold want to create another kind of paper, representing more safe (?) aboveground refined Gold.
A first step to connect "Funds" (pools) more directly to liquid Physical as an *INVESTMENT* and not as a strictly currency hedging (speculative) instrument.

...WE NEED TO MAKE IT (GOLD) POSSIBLE FOR THEM (investment universe) TO OWN GOLD !!! (Thompson)

An old timer poster once said that Gold was/is NOT an *Investment* ! I still don't agree with it, and probably never will. Thompson seems to share that *investment* argument and will most probably succeed in bringing the message across. He (they) must feel the backing of the Architects !? And all this while the precious is so heavy for its humble price...smile with me Aristotle.


Golden Bear (5/9/02; 16:19:24MT - usagold.com msg#: 75287)
kludge (msg#: 75286)
"Peace and prosperity are bearish for gold."
Greetings Kludge,

the prosperity in your quote is illusory, built by decades of inflation of the money supply of countries around the world, fooling their populations that they are becoming wealthier year over year...until BAM! - Another Argentina occurs, leaving most with very little.

Nothing is bearish for the value of gold bullion, only paper gold, which is also part of the grand illusion.

Cheers.


kludge (5/9/02; 16:03:31MT - usagold.com msg#: 75286)
@Rock
Yes, it's a sad fact too that the price of gold tends to flourish in bad times. Peace and prosperity are bearish for gold. This, IMO, explains gold's recent rally. Sadly, it'll probably go higher once Israel responds to the latest suicide bombers. I was hoping to keep adding to the collection at less than $300 delivered - but it seems pretty obvious that many will lose much before we get back to those days again.



Sierra Madre (5/9/02; 15:50:11MT - usagold.com msg#: 75285)
"Domino effect" to affect Brazil and Mexico, after Argentina...

It seems to me that Mexico is in a special situation at the moment - oil is strong and that is a very important factor for the Mexican economy; so that would help contain the "contagion". Also, Mexico is next door to the U.S. and is being wooed by the Establishment. Everything is cozy and Mexicans are good boys, they do their homework and behave themselves. Good marks for them, good credit ratings for the nice little boys. All this is preparation for takeover, IMHO.

Argentina is left twisting in the wind. It's a matter of "triage". You know, when there is an accident, the medics look over the wounded and they sort them into groups: the dying are just left to die. No use wasting time and resources on them.

Scotiabank leaving Argentina, just closed its doors and said goodbye! This is without precedent, so far as I can see. These people really need silver desperately! But, not a single brain there to suggest it.

My wife says the people there are broken; not only broke, but broken. A human tragedy.

Brazil might cave in. When governments start blaming investors etc. you just know that something is going to happen. Of course, with paper money, what else but ANOTHER collapse? When will people learn??

Sierra


slingshot (5/9/02; 15:38:14MT - usagold.com msg#: 75284)
Siege Engine
Time Is Running Out.
The Lord of the Castle has burned the Midnight Oil with his Knights and has failed to comprise a viable battle plan.
All of strategies revolved in only the defense of his citidel and with the size of his garrison provided very little offensive capabilities.
The trebuchet has been effective as it relentlessly batters the wall below the tower.
It is morning and the first light of day begins to shine into the room and replaces the candlelight upon his maps.
Suddenly, there is an alarm for all to man the walls.
There is more excitement. As he ascends the stairs he can hear the comments of his men and he knowns fear when he hears it.

He looks out beyond the field and into the rising sun.
For a momment he is blinded but soon sees the open green field below and what now stands just in front of the treeline far away.

The Goldbugs have formed ranks. Three and four deep and the full lenght of the treeline. They are armed with shields and swords. Bows and maces. Standing shoulder to shoulder.
They begin to bang their shields and shout.
FREE GOLD, FREE GOLD, FREE GOLD.

The Lord of the castle turns and looks into the face of his Knight standing next to him.


USAGOLD (5/9/02; 15:05:19MT - usagold.com msg#: 75283)
Sierra Madre. . ."Brazil's Cardoso slams behaviour of investors. . ."///////////// ALL: Old Brazilian Gold Coins to be Offered
http://biz.yahoo.com/rc/020509/economy_brazil_cardoso_1.html
What do you think of the theory making the rounds in the gold market that we may see the Domino Effect in Latin America -- Argentina, then Brazil, then Mexico? Just saw the reports about Cardozo complaining about Brazilian debt being downgraded.

"Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch and ABN Amro advised clients to cut Brazilian debt in their portfolios. . ."

All: Soon as Randy get's the backroom work completed we will be offering some one-half ounce Brazilian coins from the 1890s. These are beautiful coins from Brazi's Republican period. There are only a handful available and we have never had anything like this before. I would suggest that anyone who bought the Uruguayan 5 Peso coins and the Argentinos, add these while you can. We will be offering sets of six coins, I believe it is, various dates in the 1890s. Some are scarcer than others but we will offer them all at the same price. The sets will carry a slight discount/encouragement for those with a collector bent who'd like to have all the dates we are offering. We will only have 20 of those so I suggest you act quickly. I think we all know by know how these things go. If its popular, it might only last a few days. Beyond the 20 sets (first-come, first served) you will be order from the hoard whatever date(s) you wish. I think you are going to like this offer.

So get ready. . . . .

Randy is working diligently behind the scenes to make ready for this interesting offer.


Rock (5/9/02; 14:29:39MT - usagold.com msg#: 75282)
Yesterdays celebrations todays deliberations
Hate to say i said so but I pegged it right on the nose yesterday concerning the stock market. It couldn't even sustain for over a day, what a joke! Cisco's shoulders just arn't big enough to carry the weight of the entire sector. It almost looked like this dying market took one last big gasp of oxygen and appeared for a brief moment that it was going to get back up and fight but then it just fell back over like a dying man on an EKG machine that just went flat line.

Meanwhile on concerning the ME, the media is now reporting how Arafat said no more bombing in his arabic tongue, what wonderful great news did you hear that knights and ladies? I'm surprised the markets didn't soar to new heights since there don't appear to be no imminent sign of war now that Arafat made his grand speech. I think we can all sleep better now with those comforting words from the former pultzer prize winner of the PLO.

Cheers,

Rock


TownCrier (05/09/02; 13:14:09MT - usagold.com msg#: 75281)
Is this really what the "gold as money" folks want to see more of?
http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/020509/markets_precious_5.html
NEW YORK, May 9 (Reuters) - ...Some borrowing of 10-year gold suggested a producer was putting on a long-term hedge to lock in prices for gold reserves, one dealer said.
-----------

Bottom line: Gold as property is the better usage. As "property" its supply can't be inflated through the banking system. As "money" it can -- as we see here in this article.

R.


YGM (05/09/02; 12:58:45MT - usagold.com msg#: 75280)
Aristotle.....
From one ole Goat to Another :>)
Lets just say there ain't no 50K oz and if there was I'd keep 49 of them and have a little rest in the sunshine....
But as for wealthy, well my health and that of my family is great and I'm keeping what little AU/AG I have set aside as per a simple fellow with simple needs I guess (hypotheticly) I'm wealthy.....Sure could stand a little more time on the Mojos River (Bolivia)tho.....Nothing like seeing that yellow in the Dredge Runs and no Yukon Brrrrrr Cold! One Cerveza and my daydreams head 4000 mi south :))

Regards....YGM.



Aristotle (05/09/02; 12:36:44MT - usagold.com msg#: 75279)
YGM, you old goat! You're (hypothetically) wealthy and you don't even know it!
Let's invite everybody to have a closer look at your comments from yesterday.

Hey everybody! Have a look at this hypothetical, and tell me what you see.

Do you see a man who is a simple $10 profit away from being a half-millionaire, or do you see a man who is truly wealthy?

Our most worthy Sir YGM said: "if I had 50,000 oz of Au and had a $10.00 profit I'd probably sell and forget all this financial crap and crime perpetrated by scumbag bankers...Kinda get on with what's left of my life @ age 53."

You know I luv ya, so don't take this wrong when I say (hypothetically, of course) "Good God, Man! What are you thinking?!" (Or maybe you were playing devil's advocate? If so, I missed it.)

Profits-schmawfits. No, seriously. In my mind, having the comfort and security of 50,000 ounces of Gold wholly-owned in your possession makes you a VERY wealthy man any way you slice it.

But let's boil it down to dollars, since that seems to be your affliction for the moment. If indeed Gold was just a trading vehicle for you (in this hypothetical,) buying low and selling higher (for $10 profit per ounce) would net you $half-a-mil. Not bad.

But profits or no, and keeping this in dollar terms (because those 50,000 ounces don't seem to impress you very much in their own terms,) that quantity of Gold currently represents $15 million in purchasing power. Most importantly, it's a tangible asset, like your land, that can't be destroyed overnight by a simple national policy change or loss of confidence in the banker's game.

You knew this. <wink>

Gold. Keep you some. --- Aristotle


YGM (05/09/02; 12:19:59MT - usagold.com msg#: 75278)
Watch For the Next Move of Brokerage Houses........
(After they re-position house accounts in PMs.......)
As the PM stocks go higher in value , so too will the Miners IPO's and Stock Offerings go ballistic...As with the Dot Com craze the Brokerage Houses will be tripping over each other in their haste to gain commissions...Public offerings mean $$$$ in company coffers both by sales and participation and that means promotion of same....Hence companies like Morgan et al will be on the bandwagon driven by Goldbugs....Heck they may even hatch another BRE-X ...
....Like I say 'History Repeats' And we're at the party long before the Band...Watch and see if the spin doctors aren't yapping about Gold on CNBC 6 mo from now......YGM.


"GO GOLD, GO PHYSICAL, & GO GATA" & Goin for a Cerveza!


USAGOLD / Centennial Precious Metals, Inc. (05/09/02; 11:33:31MT - usagold.com msg#: 75277)
With gold you can live life like you MEAN it...
http://www.usagold.com/ProductsPage.html

Swiss Gold Francs

Get the Legendary SECURITY of a Swiss Account...

...Delivered to Your Door.

Call Centennial for Arrangements
1-800-869-5115



YGM (05/09/02; 10:49:08MT - usagold.com msg#: 75276)
Mahethir Mohamed & Gold Dinar
http://www.tv3.com.my/news/nl/march2002/26_news1.html
For a little background...Link

YGM (05/09/02; 10:33:10MT - usagold.com msg#: 75275)
Very Worthy Repost.....From one of our Bretheren across the way....
http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/020509/financial_malaysia_amcham_1.html
Mahathir-Bush meeting, REAL purpose of meeting is to discuss the GOLD DINAR!
(Gr8AuAgGuy) May 09, 12:03

Just how concerned are the PTB about GOLD and GOLD backed financial instruments?

Isn't a new financial GOLD backed Islamic DINAR being created in Malaysia? IMVHO Mahathir is being summoned to find out how far along they are in creating the GOLD DINAR! Most likely Mahathir is going to be threatened with a quick trip to the wood shed if he doesn't delay or destroy GOLD DINAR plans.

The spin is: "Malaysia gives short shrift to militancy and deviancy and in the case of terrorism, one of our strongest supporters has been Malaysia," he said. (Yeah, Malaysia is a military dictatorship)

During his visit from May 13-15, Mahathir is due to make a landmark visit to the White House to meet Bush and will also hold talks with other top U.S. officials. (top US officials = the ones who can hurt you!)

Electrical and electronics account for over 60 percent of the total goods sold by Malaysia, of which about a fifth ends up in the United States." (The IT and Tech sectors are swirling in the sewage systems).

http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/020509/financial_malaysia_amcham_1.html



Gandalf the White (05/09/02; 10:16:15MT - usagold.com msg#: 75274)
<;-)
OK, SPOT, Time to start that new dance .. The NOON NY HOP !!
JUMP, SPOT
JUMP !!
<;-)


Old Yeller (05/09/02; 09:35:34MT - usagold.com msg#: 75273)
Spotlight on the new Fed boys
http://quote.bloomberg.com/fgcgi.cgi?ptitle=Economies&s1=blk&tp=ad_topright_econ&T=markets_bfgcgi_content99.ht&s2=ad_right1_economies&bt=ad_position1_economies&middle=ad_frame2_economies&s=APNl6JxTRQmVybmFu

Boy,they lay it on pretty thick here about Greenspan's "inflation fighting" credentials.

Presided over the the biggest asset inflation binge
in recorded history,yet he's an inflation fighter?

Let's let this thing resolve itself first,the experiment is still ongoing.


YGM (05/09/02; 09:25:01MT - usagold.com msg#: 75272)
Paul Van Eeden...Gold's Secular Bull Market........
http://www.mips1.net/MGGold.nsf/Current/4225685F0043D1B242256BB300315448?OpenDocument
Plus $400.00 p/oz Paul? Well that's a good start! Try 3 TIMES THAT in future years........YGM.

YGM (05/09/02; 09:08:49MT - usagold.com msg#: 75271)
JPMC & Dinsa
From Mining Web Message Board.....
Comment on Flap over gold derivative "firings"
Date 2002/05/09 Thu

Name Mark McCabe
Email Address ciudadhabana2000@yahoo.com
Subject

I ran the biggest gold hedging book for Chase right up until the merger with JPMorgan.
This is email correspondence from Bob Davis when I asked if Dinsa Mehta resigned. His response is below.
I'm sure u guys can work it out

Regards:

Mark McCabe.
....................................


MIXI,

Hoo yers gannin old son?

I'll reply more thoroughly another time. U still long gold...?....$311.00
trading my son.
I think 'resigned' is not quite the description some would use for the 'D'
man but a lot of changes going thru in Snr management.

Call you soon.

cheers...ta....errrrrrrrrrrrrrrr...ye know...number one again...





Mr Gresham (05/09/02; 09:05:13MT - usagold.com msg#: 75270)
YGM
If I had time to read only one post today (for now, true), and one sentence in it, your "Eventually ..." below essentially sums up everything we've observed, and written here, over the years. On the run...

YGM (05/09/02; 08:52:32MT - usagold.com msg#: 75269)
Waverider.....
Cisco....
You know if I was a wall st paper boy I'd be looking for that co like Cisco on a daily to weekly basis. Knowing that there's Billions of worried and homelss dollars looking for a temporary roost is all one needs to see in the bigger picture. In and out, in and out! Eventually all this cash will find a longer term home in PM's, but not before much of it evaporates back to the airy nothing it was created from in the first place....I'm possibly over simplistic but many are lost in the fog of the system! What people don't know or refuse to acknowledge is the simple fact the system may be on the verge of chrysalis....YGM

YGM (05/09/02; 08:35:42MT - usagold.com msg#: 75268)
Canuck.....
Your Questions/Comments Yesterday.....
Sorry for not giving more than a babbling answer to your two questions & commentary posed yesterday, but you left me in the dust with all I read. I can see you have an economists mind and might possibly be seeing things from a perspective gained over the last few years while the bubble was inflating. I am no economist nor do I understand the workings of such. This I believe....the Bubble is over!
This is what Greespan has known he had to accomplish for some time w/o putting SM's into crash mode....Gold has "NOT" even begun to have it's run....As for an alternative to the US dollar, well if one percieves that the US dollar is going to loose value whether intentionaly or by circumstance, then one would switch some dollars to PM's, Euro's, Dinars or maybe even Loonies. Just think repatriation on US dollars and how that would change the financial landscape for the US markets and investors....Think of the benefits to US producers with a lower US dollar....As for Banks reversing trends, well one who knows the history of Banks should realize they can be the most inventive and unpredictable of entities....Why they even close their doors and abandon those depositors who freely trust and give them the cash to be in business in the first place....Scotia in Argentina is a good recent example....No Canuck the highest powers want the bubble over, it's only the Fund managers and the Brokers handling the Trillions of Fed Bubble money floating around that want to keep the ship afloat....It ain't going to happen! The Banks can relieve rates all they want, they can issue Bonds til hell freezes over. The die is cast and they cast it with Greed! Remember 'North of 49'and his Banker Executive nieghbour? Remeber the comment he made to N 49? Is it happening already he asked! Well that was 3 years ago and now it is happening....I know a fellow who's father in law was a past CEO for Royal Bank, they both have said the only future was physical Gold/Silver as the system was then and now on the edge of Collapse/Restructuring....I know you've read most all the same info over the years as me, but I truly hope in the interest of a fellow Canadian you've read
http://www.safehaven.ca/Editorials/Fekete050702.htm

PS: Keep that AU/AG out of the so called Safety Deposit Boxes....History always repeats in one form or another....





Waverider (5/9/02; 08:07:38MT - usagold.com msg#: 75267)
Cisco casts a spell on the markets
http://globeandmail.com/servlet/RTGAMArticleHTMLTemplate/D,D/20020508/wmathmay8?hub=homeBN&tf=tgam%252Frealtime%252Ffullstory.html&cf=tgam/realtime/config-neutral&vg=BigAdVariableGenerator&slug=wmathmay8&date=20020508&archive=RTGAM&site=Front&ad_page_name=breakingnews
Snippit:
"Memo to investors: Cisco Systems is not the entire stock market, nor is it the entire U.S. economy. In fact, it isn't even a substantial part of either. In other words, just because Cisco had a half-decent quarter doesn't mean the U.S. economy is shifting into high gear. You wouldn't know that from looking at the markets Wednesday, however, because they were on a rocket ride — and the only fuel around was Cisco's report.

So was the market's response to Cisco a relief rally after weeks of gloom? Oversold conditions? Short-covering? [PPT?]Probably all of the above. But the most important question of all is whether it was just a 'head fake' or sucker rally — and on that front, the chances are pretty high that it was. What has changed compared with last week, when gloom was everywhere? Not much."

Waverider: GoldenBear - same here in Canuck land on the morning market report. Good to see someone at the Globe putting yesterday into perspective.


Golden Bear (5/9/02; 06:13:28MT - usagold.com msg#: 75266)
Rock (msg#: 75221)
You're so right. This morning on my way to work (down under), the lead news story was the powerful rallies overnight on Wall Street due to Cisco's positive earnings reports. Usually the market report is at the end of the bulletin.

It struck me immediately how powerful a hype message this was for the average investor - they'd think "wow, what a move, time to call my broker.... and in they go to get creamed by the next down move. Poor sods.

Cheers.


Golden Bear (5/9/02; 06:05:01MT - usagold.com msg#: 75265)
Pizz (msg#: 75198) The War may be starting in earnest Keep the big picture in mind.
Very well said SIr,
The key in this us vs them "crusade" as gunslinger Bush called it (wasn't that the Freudian slip of last year!). It will not be fought militarily however - why risk destroying your economy as well as your armed forces against the 800 pound gorilla, when you could just keep bying gold, knowing full well you'll drive up the price of bullion and slowly killing the enemy by a thousand cuts... one of those cuts will eventually be through the jugular, and the gorilla will go down gushing. Add a cut to a wrist (terrorist attack on american soil) just to accelerate the process if need be, and all this while increasing your wealth in the process....

Your later post (msg#: 75211) was perceptive also... the huge gaps before the open are usually done using futures.. to spike futures to that extent is no mean feat - your average Joe wasn't buying 100 lots yesterday morning.

All part of the game, and as you said so wisely, keeping the big picture in mind... Thanks.



LeSin (5/9/02; 05:36:27MT - usagold.com msg#: 75264)
"GOLD IS FREE" Thanks to Mr Vaughn at the Eagle Forum Across the Hall
http://www.gold-eagle.com/gold_digest_02/vaughn051002.html

GOLD IS FREE!!!

Gold is finally FREE!!!

Its shackles have been RELEASED & it is ready to begin performing according to the laws of supply & demand. Actually, it is important to understand now that the rules of the game, as dictated by the "big boys", have changed.

When the effort to control the price of gold through the extreme & successful method of hedging, Barrick Gold was first chosen as the "patsy" to carry these designs out. For Barrick playing this role brought prestige & honor & political power to have the important distinction of being the major vehicle implemented in carrying out the gold price manipulation scheme.

But as with the role of all "patsies," their services are eventually no longer needed. Such is now the case with Barrick. It is now time for gold to shine & someone must take the blame & heat for the devastation brought about by the pain that a manipulated gold price has brought about.

Barrick does not like this new role it is being scripted to play.

Just a year ago there were 2 principal gold companies whose duties were the active involvement & pursuit of keeping the price of gold down, AngloGold & Barrick. But now the game has changed & it is has been determined by the elite that it is acceptable for the price of gold to float & maneuver freely.

AngloGold's recent comments & actions reveal this new change of policy. What is AngloGold officially saying about the direction & future of the gold price now?

Bill Murphy 5-1-2002 "The following appeared in a MONEYWEB today. It is MOST SIGNIFICANT. I will elaborate in MIDAS later: (the following is an interview with Bobby Godsell, AngloGold CEO). BOBBY GODSELL: …we've indicated again that we think the gold price is firming and that we've got better prospects for the gold price than we've had certainly since 1993, maybe even since 1987. Against that background, we've been trimming back our hedge book."

Bill Murphy, "This is a two plus twoer. Gold went to $400 + in 1993 and $500 + in 1987. Up, up and away we go!"

What does this statement from the CEO of the most powerful gold company in the world mean? What Bobby Godsell is announcing to the world is AngloGold's acceptance now of a higher gold price. In this statement he informs the investment community that AngloGold is positioning itself accordingly to prepare for this coming gold price explosion. No longer will there be severe steps taken to keep gold's price down.

What is AngloGold doing to prepare for a higher gold price?

"AngloGold CEO Bobby Godsell has been pounding the table for months and months that Anglo has reduced its hedge book and is going to continue to do so in an aggressive manner."

"That is most unusual. Normally a big hedger completes a buyback program and THEN announces what it has done. My colleagues and I have been scratching our heads as to why Anglo would announce its intentions ahead of time, which would surely result in higher buyback prices…."

"Thus Bobby Godsell wants the world to know that the world's No. 1 gold producer is covering hedges, so as to encourage others to cover hedges, so as to encourage hedge funds and other physical gold buyers to step up to the plate and get long."

Do you begin to understand readers how the wheels are turning & a new position for gold is being established? For a long time it was gold's role to be unimportant & for its price to be kept below 300 dollars an ounce.

Now the rules are changing & the new rule is for gold to be allowed to RISE!!!

This is just too bad for a company like Barrick who has built its entire infrastructure around the concept & practice of hedging. Yes, I will be very surprised to see Barrick in its present form & its current leadership still intact several years from today.

Let me repeat again what Bobby Godsell has said so its significance can really penetrate the brain.

BOBBY GODSELL:"we think the gold price is firming and that we've got better prospects for the gold price than we've had certainly since 1993 (1993 = 400 an ounce), maybe even since 1987 (1987 = 500 an ounce). Against that background, we've been trimming back our hedge book."

If the above message is not a signal by a major world player & market maker informing the world where gold is heading I do not know what is!!!

Bobby Godsell goes on to say, "We've reduced our hedge book by 1.7 million ounces this quarter, or 120 percent of the company's production. We are now significantly less hedged than we were last quarter. That increases our participation in the firmer gold prices…"

MONEYWEB: Now the gold price is flirting with around the $310 level. Where do you see that by year-end?

BOBBY GODSELL: Byron, all we can say is -- my colleague Kelvin Williams has studied this market for 17 years now -- everything is in place for a firmer price.

Again, "Better prospects for the gold price than we've had certainly since 1993, maybe even since 1987." (500 + gold price)

"Conservative gold executives like Bobby Godsell do NOT make casual comments such as this. There is a purpose to everything he says in a formal interview. Godsell knows that GATA has been right all along; that the gold price has been rigged and kept at artificially low prices for years. He knows the rig is coming to an end and he knows the gold price is explosive for all the reasons often cited in "Midas" commentary. For those reasons Godsell is not afraid to hint that $400 or $500 gold is possible."

"I can't be the only one in Gold Land to understand this. A statement like this has to freak some of the big hedgers and encourage other big spec players to load the gold boat."

You are right, Bill. This is indeed a message for the remaining hedgers to UNWIND THEIR HEDGES." I consider Godsell's gold comments to be as significant a development as any since GATA began and the Cafe opened for business."

From the very beginning it was designed that Barrick would be the principal patsy to act as the flagship for the practice of hedging & to act as a role model for other gold mining companies to follow.

Now the plan is changed & part of the design is to allow the gold price to move forward. AngloGold is aware of these plans & is preparing for it accordingly. It is important to always remember that the money behind AngloGold represents the REAL world players & market movers. Barrick's players & insiders represent "chump change".

Who controls the purse strings of AngloGold? Go look & see. I would prefer not to mention their names lest my intentions are misconstrued.

Now Barrick is being prepared as the sacrificial lamb.

Is Barrick accepting this new world policy change for gold gracefully & with class?

In desperation to save itself Barrick has tried to position itself stronger by purchasing Homestake to provide a cheap source of unhedged gold. But this will not be enough to save Barrick & Barrick realizes this.

Even now Barrick is beginning to sink under the weight of its own self-created corruption.

Thom Calandra of CBS MarketWatch touched on Barrick in his column today:

"Barrick failed to meet Wall Street earnings expectations Wednesday. In their conference call, Barrick executives fielded numerous analysts' questions about the company's hedged sales of gold, a strategy seen by some as risky if bullion prices rise sharply. Those questions, from JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, and others, were met by Barrick executives, who assured investors they were monitoring the situation."

"Monitoring the situation? What does that mean? The arrogant meatheads at Barrick continue to doubletalk. They are going to get their hat handed to them. AngloGold has outfoxed them and Barrick is stuck sucking up to the Gold Cartel. Hedge book blowups are coming. Will Barrick be one of them?"

"Not only is Barrick (ABX) unable to manage its core business profitably, but CEO Oliphant has dragged his company into the yawning abyss of the Gold Cabal. While the reported loss on derivative gold sales is described as "small", you can bet this number will explode, and most of it splashing across the face of Oliphant. Dump it!" Bill, The Charleston Voice

How deserving that the very pain & horror that Barrick contributed to so many other gold mining companies it is beginning to experience itself.

When Barrick does eventually sink into its own self created sess pool there will be no sympathy from the rest of the gold mining community. Most of those really knowledgeable of the gold mining industry long ago recognized Barrick as an Enron & Author Anderson type financial instititution dealing primarily in derivatives. NEVER was Barrick a true gold miner, but only an Enron Derivatives Dealer.

In desperation Barrick is now even attempting to purchase AngloGold & against AngloGold's will. I'll tell you right now though, that ain't going to be allowed to happen!!!

"GATA Chairman Bill Murphy's "Midas" commentary tonight at www.LeMetropoleCafe.com breaks what may prove to be the story of the year in the gold world: Barrick Gold's plan to acquire AngloGold."

"The big gold news today has to do with Barrick and AngloGold. I was told the following last night by the best of overseas sources:

"Barrick at the moment has a team of 40 people working in Johannesburg. They want to take over AngloGold." Bill Murphy LeMetropole 5-1-2002

And what is AngloGold's response to this?

"And AngloGold's announcing its plans to reduce its hedging, driving up the cost of its own plans, may make sense too, as Murphy writes -- in the context of AngloGold's fending off acquisition by the super-hedged Barrick, for whom a higher gold price is death." Bill Murphy, LeMetropole May 1, 2002

Let us look once more at the hemorrhaging of Barrick.


THOM CALANDRA'S STOCKWATCH

May 6, 2002

John C. Doody, editor of the numbers-crunching Gold Stock Analyst newsletter, figures Barrick Gold in its latest reported quarter saw the mark-to-market value of its so-called hedge book drop to a negative $121 million as of March 31 from a positive $380 million on June 30, 2001.

Doody at Gold Stock Analyst puts the negative swing of the company's hedge book at $507 million. "This swing far offsets the net profits earned of $46 million in the first quarter of 2002 plus the $66 million in the third quarter of 2001 plus the $82 million in the fourth quarter of 2001. The net is a loss of $313 million."

"The sensitivity of the derivative portfolio now stands at about $21 million an ounce," says Douglas Pollitt at Pollitt & Co. in Toronto. "Each $1 an ounce upward move in the gold price sees the mark-to-market (of Barrick's derivative contracts) drop by about $21 million. At $350 an ounce, the mark-to-market would be over $1 billion in the red." Gold prices this year have risen to $312 an ounce from $270 at the start of January

(WOW!!! Let's hear this again!!! Editor)

"Each $1 an ounce upward move in the gold price sees the mark-to-market (of Barrick's derivative contracts) DROP by about $21 million. At $350 an ounce, the mark-to-market would be over $1 billion in the red."

"Pollitt calculates the notional value of Barrick's spot-deferred contracts at 18 million ounces. "Add to this another 5 million in written call options, (which the company now calls 'variable priced sales contracts'), and, one way or another, the company is short about 23 million ounces of gold. This is a fantastic number and begs the question: Could Barrick cover even if they wanted to?"

Is this the company that so confidently hedged every years worth of production for almost 20 years?

"…the company is short about 23 million ounces of gold. This is a fantastic number and begs the question: Could Barrick cover even if they wanted to?"

Well. I am at a loss for words.

What more can I say?

Only that anyone still holding shares in this immoral corrupt golden Enron Style Derivatives Fire Trap is a complete IDIOT!!!


Summary

Between Barrick & AngloGold, Barrick is expendable, but NOT AngloGold. Within the political ownership of AngloGold rests some of the most important & powerful financial entities in the world. AngloGold represents their personal gold mine. Barrick's (the chump changers) job now in the world scheme is to take the heat for the gold price manipulation scheme & to die gracefully with the coming gold price explosion.

Within another 3 years (probably less than that), between AngloGold & Barrick, only one company will remain standing & it will NOT be Barrick!!!

AngloGold will continue & Barrick will fail. This will be a convenient timely circumstance because by this time gold will be firmly in an advancing bull market & the public will be crying out for blood for the one most responsible for the gold price manipulation scheme.

"Anglogold wants the gold price to go much higher to stave off Barrick. Barrick remains heavily hedged. A soaring gold price is no great shakes to Barrick and could even do the company in if their hedge book blows up. In addition, if AngloGold covers its hedges as fast as possible, it will add fuel to the growing gold-buying power and be a factor in moving the gold price higher. The more Anglogold covers forwards and the higher its share price goes, the more difficult it will be for Barrick to take over AngloGold. For Anglogold will get too expensive."

"It is only a matter of time before the gold derivative bomb goes off and sinks the evil cabal forces."

Meanwhile, Barrick Gold continues to stink up the place.

Readers, it is important to digest these occurrences so that you can look with confidence at a rising gold price & know where to place your investments.

Part of the reason I am taking the time to go over so carefully & repetitively this message is because there are still so many emails I receive from readers asking me if the run on gold stocks will continue or if they are oversold.

A few years ago Federal Reserve Chairman, Alan Greenspan, sent out a message to the world and investors in general that everything would be done to play down the gold price over the next few years.

Now, a new message equivalent to the one Greenspan gave then is being issued & sent out around the word to all investors.

That message given by the most powerful of market leaders is sending out a message that gold is free & will be moving higher.

BOBBY GODSELL: -- EVERYTHING is in place for a firmer price.

Again, "Better prospects for the gold price than we've had certainly since 1993, maybe even since 1987."

500 US DOLLAR PLUS GOLD PRICE HERE WE COME!!!

The dollar is beginning its long slow fall. I have written in earlier commentary & mentioned that through the pain of a wrecked US economy that Europe will shine brighter as a world power.

George Bush will go down in the history books as another Hoover. Bush's additional historical distinction will be as the president under whose watch the US gold disappeared.

"It has been said that the gradual closing of producer hedges is putting a floor under the gold price. Barrick's scramble for unhedged gold might attach rockets to the price." Bill Murphy 5-6-2002

A rising gold price will be the instrument used to calculate to what extent & degree the US economy becomes wrecked.


Boilermaker (5/9/02; 04:24:44MT - usagold.com msg#: 75263)
L Kaplan's 5/9 Commentary
I notice that Leonard offers an extremely bullish commentary for gold today. I suppose he's negative on holding physical because he's probably losing some of his paper clients to the physical dealers. He knows what's happening and why but he's been bad-mouthing the conspiracy theory for so long that he can't publically reverse himself without losing all credibility. He's painted himself in a corner. His clients will suffer.

What really caught my eye was the following from his commentary that may explain the silver lease rate increase;

"There has been much talk among traders in the market about J.P. Morgan this past few days. It would appear that Mr. Dinsa Mehta, formerly their Chief Precious Metals and Commodity Analyst, has "retired". As this gentleman was responsible for approving many of the obviously self-enriching and obviously obfuscated trades done with Enron by an affiliate of J.P. Morgan, such a "retirement" (giggle....) is not unexpected. If there is one universal prerogative of large corporations, it is that when something bad happens, SOMEONE MUST DIE. And Mr. Dinsa appears to be the victim.

There are also rumors that this same firm was a MAJOR borrower of silver in the shorter-term periods over the last few days. Perhaps they are just cleaning up some problems. But don't expect anything really significant.


Black Blade (05/09/02; 03:03:21MT - usagold.com msg#: 75262)
Australian gold hedges fall 200,000/oz
http://sg.biz.yahoo.com/reuters/nsyd306786.html

Snippit:

SYDNEY, May 9 (Reuters) - Australian miners reduced their gold hedging positions in the March quarter by 200,000 ounces to 24.3 million ounces, excluding the positions held by the former Normandy Mining, investment bank JP Morgan said on Thursday.


Black Blade: Well…..it's a start.



Belgian (05/09/02; 00:45:12MT - usagold.com msg#: 75261)
Wolves do eat wolves ( AU / ABX )
FWIW !!!
AU and ABX have different hedgebooks. If AU can corner ABX with a subtle management (closing out) of its own hedges...softly buying (spot in weakness) and delivering Physical...ABX's enormous hedges could be seriously threathened, without doing too much damage to the remaining AU hedges ? AU (or anyone else) is never going to suggest an ABX take over as extremely overvalued (P/E=58) and vulnarable to any POG rise above 325$ > 350$. The Cambior and Ashanti (wolve) tactics on ABX !? Will and can the financial brotherhood allow this to happen ? Why not ?
In the mean time, daily stories of everyone wanting to take over everyone, are a welcome play of divertisement.
Let those wolves devore each other and watch the spectacle with your own aboveground refined at hand.


Black Blade (05/09/02; 00:42:41MT - usagold.com msg#: 75260)
California Consumers Hope Power Blackouts Are History
http://199.97.97.163/IMDS%PMAKRT0%read%/home/content/users/imds/feeds/knightridder/2002/05/08/krtbn/0000-0463-SJ-BLACKOUTS

Snippit:

The state's complex electricity system is far from fixed, with consumers paying inflated bills while government leaders warn of future troubles. "All of the fundamentals that allowed the energy crisis to take place are still there in suspended animation," said Fred Keeley, D-Santa Cruz and speaker pro tem of the state Assembly.

But California faces some worrisome trends and unresolved issues. Conservation, which proved the key to avoiding blackouts last summer, is about half the level it was last year. Consumers last year shaved 10 percent off their peak use, but the savings has since slipped to 5.5 percent. The state's grid managers, however, say conservation is still critical.

Another worry is that the rush to build new power plants is over. The collapse of last year's high prices has led energy companies to cancel 62 projects that would have pumped out 4,600 megawatts, spelling trouble for coming years. Stricter pollution controls will also force old plants into retirement, for a loss of nearly 900 megawatts.

California still needs to pull in 3,500 megawatts from neighboring states to meet its needs. To keep up with the state's expected growth, grid managers say the state must add 1,000 to 1,500 megawatts of new energy generation each year. But with today's soft power prices, lenders aren't too eager to finance half-billion-dollar power plant projects.

Transmission bottlenecks, blamed for the first rolling blackouts which hit the San Francisco Bay Area in June 2000, still plague the region, as well as San Diego. The "Path 15" route that moves power between northern and southern California is still choked.


Black Blade: I suspect that the Kalifornia Grasshopper will revisit the energy crisis. Unfortunately the Grasshopper must rely on others to survive, and thankfully they can rely on the state of Washington to give them a helping hand with Hydroelectric power. However, if this summer is warmer than usual they will have to deal with dwindling supply and transmission bottlenecks. So scratch one economic recovery for Kalifornia this year.





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