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Gold Contrarians Will Get Killed
Nov 20th, 2009 15:16 by RS

By Jordan Roy Byrne
Nov 20, 2009 (MarketOracle) —

…First, let me debunk the bubble callers and those who say Gold is a crowded trade. I’ve heard at least three different people say this…

Here are some excellent charts. (see source)

Does it look like the Gold market is anywhere remotely close to a bubble? Apparently, the bubble callers and crowded trade folks haven’t done their research. Doesn’t look crowded to me.

Even if a few more people own gold, my bet is that they don’t own enough of it. Gold is under-owned. John Paulson, the great hedge fund manager is pretty bullish on Gold, but he doesn’t own much more than 10% in his fund. (Perhaps that is why he’s starting a Gold fund). Dennis Gartman, I believe only owns around 5% (He’s said so on television). Months ago, Steve Leuthold was on Bloomberg and he was bullish on Gold but said he only owned 1-2%. A time ago, most folks would have 10% of their worth in Gold, whether it was in a bull market or not. Most people who own gold investments, don’t own enough…

Judging from history (and there are many examples), Gold is at the start of a major move higher. Our target for this move is $2,100-$2,300 in the next 12 months.

It is interesting how these major breakouts occur at a time when fundamentals are their strongest. How can anyone call Gold a bubble when gold production continues to decrease? How can anyone call Gold a bubble when monetization is rampant? How can anyone call Gold a bubble when the FHA and FDIC will need to be bailed out? How can anyone call Gold a bubble when the US deficit is in the trillions of dollars? The deflationary forces plaguing us are bullish for Gold. That is what the market is saying and that is how traders and investors are reacting…

The views of the bubble callers and wanna be contrarians are baseless, misguided and ironically, coming at the worst possible time.

[source]

Comment: Very nice charts accompany this nifty commentary.

Gold’s Bull Run Is Only Beginning
Nov 20th, 2009 09:36 by News
Stocks follow overseas markets lower, dollar rises
Nov 19th, 2009 08:16 by News
Warnings on gold stocks
Nov 17th, 2009 22:19 by RS
Gold Investors Should Switch from Equities to Bullion, says Barings
Nov 17th, 2009 09:31 by RS
HEADLINE: Gold continues its advance
Nov 17th, 2009 08:57 by RS
Gold bull market not manic yet
Nov 16th, 2009 13:41 by RS
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$2,000 Gold Prediction
Nov 16th, 2009 11:10 by RS
Gold hits another record
Nov 16th, 2009 01:29 by RS
Gold hits new record high as demand for the dollar continues to weaken
Nov 12th, 2009 00:22 by RS
Barrick shuts hedge book as world gold supply runs out
Nov 11th, 2009 13:35 by RS
South Africa’s National Union of Mineworkers to strike at Gold Fields
Nov 11th, 2009 11:46 by News
Whither gold now ?
Nov 10th, 2009 02:03 by News
FRIDAY Market Excerpts
Nov 6th, 2009 15:37 by Daily Market Report
Gold Glitters Because Central Bankers Do Not
Nov 6th, 2009 13:02 by RS
View of the Day: Gold dances to its own tune
Nov 5th, 2009 09:21 by News
Gold: The Right Trade
Nov 3rd, 2009 14:18 by RS
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Nov 3rd, 2009 09:56 by RS
Wall Street Is Lower on World Economic Concerns
Nov 3rd, 2009 09:47 by News
MONDAY Market Excerpts
Nov 2nd, 2009 16:51 by Daily Market Report
Gold outlook rosy as market jitters persist-LBMA head
Nov 2nd, 2009 11:28 by News
CIT’s Bankruptcy…
Nov 2nd, 2009 05:03 by News
U.S. Stocks May Be Starting ‘Correction’
Nov 2nd, 2009 04:11 by News
Dow Drops 200 points After Consumer Spending Falls
Oct 30th, 2009 14:52 by RS
Stocks dip as consumer spending lags
Oct 30th, 2009 09:42 by News
THURSDAY Market Excerpts
Oct 29th, 2009 15:37 by Daily Market Report
The economy isn’t fixed yet, say Wall Streeters
Oct 29th, 2009 09:47 by News
80 years ago tomorrow. . . .
Oct 28th, 2009 14:10 by MK
Venezuela seizes miner’s gold
Oct 28th, 2009 10:41 by News


Author key: MK - Michael J. Kosares; GC - George Cooper; PG - Peter A. Grant; JK - Jonathan Kosares; RS - Randal Strauss; JL - Jeffrey Lee. [see also 10 yrs of Discussion Archives]


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