Gold is down in early U.S. trading after Q3 GDP was revised higher. The dollar rose, pushing the yellow metal back into the recent range as stronger growth provides further justification for a rate hike in December.
U.S. Q3 GDP was revised up to 3.3%, in line with expectations, versus 3.0% previously and 3.1% in Q2. However, it is widely expected that growth is slowing in Q4. We saw some downward revisions yesterday on the surge in the trade deficits.
While the uptick in growth is encouraging, Janet Yellen will reiterate today before the JEC that core inflation “has remained surprisingly subdued.” According to her prepared testimony, released earlier this morning, she will go on to say “the recent lower readings on inflation likely reflect transitory factors.”
It seems like we’ve been hearing that for an awfully long time. We’ll get the latest inflation reading tomorrow with the release of October PCE data tomorrow. If inflation remained steady or increased in October, the market will remain convinced that the hike is on. If inflation slowed, rate hike expectations will be tempered.
Later this morning we get the October Pending Home Sales Index and EIA crude stocks for last week.