Gold dropped $10 today under mysterious circumstances. It finished the day at $1275.35 turning a fairly good week a bit upside down. Silver went along for the ride finishing the day at $16.86 – down 10¢ on the day. As it is gold finished up $5.60 for the week, silver up 4¢.
Seasonax’ Dmitri Speck has tracked daily gold movement since 2000 and has come to an interesting conclusion about Fridays. “. . .[P]rices”, he says, “essentially tended to move sideways over the first four days of the week. Only in 2009 did Wednesday manage to generate a somewhat stronger average return as well. The gains in the gold price over the entire period of almost 17 years were primarily achieved on Fridays. . . On Friday prices frequently even managed to rise even when the gold price declined overall in the course of the year, such as e.g. in 2014. In short, Friday is indeed quite an unusual day.”
This Friday (today) was markedly different from Mr. Speck’s finding, and it all happened when some entity dumped 40,000 contracts on the New York Comex – four million ounces. The price immediately dropped $10. No one has come forward to admit the dirty deed, but its not the first time we have had one of these mysterious waterfall drops in the gold price sans a logical explanation. The mystery of it all was proclaimed at several news sources including Reuters, Bloomberg and CNBC.
Quote of the Day
“The bullion market has seen similar mysterious trades in the past few months. Last month, contracts covering more than 2 million ounces of gold traded in just five minutes, sending prices higher. Two months earlier, contracts for a similar amount traded in a minute, propelling the metal higher. In June, the market saw trades for over 1.8 million ounces posted in just a minute.” – Luzi-Ann Javier, Bloomberg (article linked above)
News & Views is the contemporary, web-based version of our client letter which traces its beginnings to the early 1990s as a hard-copy newsletter mailed to our clientele. The “Big Breakout of 1999” headlined in the November, 1999 issue of our newsletter moved the gold price from $250 to $325 per ounce. It was a major event. To put it in perspective, the same upward move today would put the gold price at better than $1650 per ounce.
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November’s feature article:
Government Finances and Gold
A cautionary tale told in four straightforward charts