Gold remain well bid above $1300, having ended last week on an upswing. The next technical hurdle is defined by resistance at 1308.80/1313.62. A breach of this level would return confidence to the dominant uptrend.
The dollar index is modestly higher, but momentum on recent uptricks has been lackluster. Fed funds futures suggest the probability of a December rate hike remains near 90%. These factors are limiting the upside.
North Korea has renewed its threat to fire missiles toward Guam as U.S. and South Korean forces begin new naval drills. Spain is still waiting for clarification from Catalonia as to whether they declared independence or not last week. If they did, or they do not respond by Thursday, Spain has threatened to impose direct rule.
The U.S. calendar is light today. NY Empire State index surged to an 8-year high of 30.2 in October, well above expectations of 20.0, versus 24.4 in September. September Treasury budget is out this afternoon