Gold firmed in overseas trading after the dollar backed off its recent highs. While some of the yellow metal’s gains have already been retraced, the dollar is up against a formidable resistance level and is quite overbought.
The U.S. ADP jobs survey came in below expectations, weighed by weather affects. This sets up some downside risk for the already weak September nonfarm payrolls expectations.
Reuters is reporting that Catalonia will declare independence from Spain on Monday. Does Mariano Rajoy and the government of Spain allow that to happen? Given the violence already used in an effort to squelch the referendum, will they go so far as to shut down the Catalonian Parliament?
Jeff Gundlach is predicting that Neel Kashkari will be the next Fed chair. “He happens to be the most easy money guy that’s in the Federal Reserve system today and that’s why he may win,” said Gundlach. That’s the exact reason that I thought he might seek to reappoint Yellen and why Kevin Warsh was an unlikely candidate. Easy policy and a weak dollar would certainly make execution of President Trump’s economic agenda more likely to be successful.