Gold is modestly firmer as the dollar continues to retrace recent gains. In the wake of yesterday’s simple hook reversal (lower low, higher close), some upside follow through would be expected as shorts take profits ahead of the weekend.
U.S. personal income rose +0.2% in August in line with expectations, tempering optimism that sprang from the +0.4% print in July. PCE rose 0.1%, also in line with expectations. Core PCE — the Fed’s favored measure of inflation — fell to 1.29% y/y, a two-year low.
The PCE data further erodes the weak inflation is “transitory” meme, bolstering Janet Yellen’s self-assessment that she and her colleagues may have “misjudged” on inflation. Today’s data should temper December rate hike expectations, helping gold.