The economic risk of ignoring arithmetic

Advisor Perspectives/John Hussman-Hussman Funds/1-9-2017

For now, the stock market is now much like Wile E. Coyote temporarily hovering just past the edge of a cliff. The moment of descent isn’t clear, but I believe it would be a mistake to climb onto his shoulders.

MK note: Hussman says the markets are fully confined within another episode of speculative madness similar to past episodes of the same.  It will likely produce the same destructive results.  “As we enter 2017, the great risk for investors,” he says, “is not in missing out in an exhausted run that already rivals the 1929 and 2000 extremes, but in failing to contemplate a 50-60% market retreat over the completion of the current cycle.” I thought the metaphor he employs above particularly apt.

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