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This page archives the September 2009 links to gold articles featured in our popular NewsGroup e-mail service.

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USAGOLD NewsGroup Archive

September 15, 2009

 

Disturbing Trends 2009:

Bail, rescue, print formula
no cure for what ails America

by Michael J. Kosares

 Clients & Friends,

Linked above, we invite you to read this in-depth ABCs of Gold Investing update. One year after the beginning of the present financial crisis, it explores the key reasons why gold is likely to play an important role in individual investment portfolios for many years to come.


September 3rd NewsGroup -- Gold price breakout!

Greeting clients and friends,

In our August 20th NewsGroup email, entitled "Gold poised for a chart-pattern breakout", we issued a timely warning from our Senior Metals Analyst, Pete Grant.

With gold's leap in excess of $20 yesterday, the fateful moment foreseen two weeks ago has indeed arrived. The auspicious price chart can be seen here...

http://www.usagold.com/cpmforum/?p=172980

This price breakout has arrived in the nick-of-time, almost as if on cue, offering especially positive portents to kick-off the typically gold-friendly season that is now upon us. For more on that, read on (and be sure to read still further as we wrap things up with a bold prediction of $1,600 gold yet in 2009)...

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Gold shines in September, analysis of 20 years' data shows
By Moming Zhou, MarketWatch; September 1, 2009

Gold prices typically rise in September, an analysis of the historical record shows, as the start of holiday seasons in the world’s biggest gold-consuming countries tends to drive up demand.

Gold made gains for the past 16 out of 20 Septembers... It rose more than 5% in September in the past seven out of 20 years.

Gold's recent tendency to do well in September contrasts with what happens in equity markets. September historically has been bad for stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average on average fell 1.2% in September since 1896…

"Based on the long-term record, this may represent a good time for investors who want to establish or add to a gold or gold-stock positions in advance of seasonal demand growth," Holmes said.

USAGOLD Comment: Seasonal trends and technical analysis are both very helpful, but sometimes you need to step back and look at the Big Picture -- and we have a doozy of a picture for you...

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The latest cartoon by Ed Stein!
By Ed Stein and USAGOLD staff; August 31, 2009

USAGOLD Comment: (see cartoon at address above) The government has handed over hundreds of billions of dollars in bailout aid intended to ensure the survival of corporations deemed "too big (i.e., too important) to fail," even though the present vulnerabilities and failings of these same entities have been largely brought upon themselves by their own missteps and strategic imprudence.

Meanwhile, the number of our unemployed population has been quietly growing (officially reckoned near 10%,) affecting households one painful job-loss at a time.

To the out-of-work individual, "too small to bail" psychologically translates into "too small to matter," that is, until Congress feels the need to begin pandering for votes during the next election cycle. Expect an escalation of budget-busting social programs in 2010, and more monetization of the debt by the Federal Reserve as the government fails to find anyone else willing to buy its tidal wave of bonds.

Stay tuned... "too small to bail" may take on a whole new connotation next year as our titanic economy begins to sink beneath this man-made flood of increasingly worthless currency and IOUs.

Even Nobel Laureates are stepping front and center to sound a cautionary note...

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Nobel Prize winner predicts the death of the dollar
By Contrarian Profits; August 31, 2009

Say goodbye to the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Writing in the Washington Post, Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz says America's massive deficit means a new global reserve system is approaching.

The domino effect is straightforward: Higher deficits spark market concerns over future inflation; concerns of inflation contribute to a weaker dollar; and both come together to undermine the greenback's role as a reliable store of value around the world.

[Money supply from 1946-2009 has been increased 5938% to $8,235,900,000,000. In that time, the US has seen ... an explosion of the welfare state and the complete annihilation of the buying power of the US dollar.]

...Of course, a new global currency won’t happen right away. It will take global policy makers months -- maybe even years -- to wean the world off the greenback. But Stiglitz says its coming...

USAGOLD Comment: Judging from the gathering evidence of articles such as the following item, it seems that China sees the road ahead and is wasting no time...

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Chinese sovereign wealth fund dumping dollars for strategic investments like gold
By Lawrence Williams, Mineweb; September 2, 2009

Probably the most interesting of the recent reports of what is happening with Chinese sovereign wealth fund investment outside China has come from Paul Mylchreest's Thunder Road Report where an ex-U.S. intelligence service member is quoted. He reports that he has a friend who is in the Chinese Sovereign Wealth fund sector who says (hearsay I know and it wouldn't stand up in court) indicated that the wealth fund analysts were working all hours of the day and night trying to put investment deals together - particularly in the oil and precious metals sectors. The conclusion is that China recognises that the U.S. dollar is going to tank and it wants to convert as much of its trillions of dollars of holdings into strategic assets as possible before the collapse really takes hold.

The trouble is there is too much money available chasing too few assets - and too little time available - or such is the conclusion. As a result the Chinese government seems to be doing its utmost in trying to persuade the Chinese public to buy gold and silver by relaxing the restrictions - it's now easier to buy precious metals in China than in the U.S. - and by pushing gold and silver investment on state-owned television. If this continues the likelihood is that China will permanently overtake India as the world's biggest buyer of gold and silver, while the country's store of wealth will help shield it against further western economic collapse.

...Paul Mylchreest comments that in Latin America, where he has been living for 25 years, for the first time he can remember, locals are now preferring their own currency to U.S. dollars. He goes on to finish with this comment: "If a fellow with no education, a poor diet, and inadequate medical treatment living at 3,500 metres above sea level can figure out that the US dollar is undesirable as a store of wealth, how much longer do you think it can last as the world's reserve currency."

USAGOLD Comment: Let's wrap things up with the latest price prediction -- something you can really sink your teeth into...

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"Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value ZERO"
By Egon von Greyerz, Matterhorn Asset Management; August 27, 2009

The autumn of 2009 will be full of shocking surprises in the banking sector, in financial markets and in the world economy. There will also be shocking falls in stockmarkets, in the dollar and in bond markets...

Never before have governments in the world expanded deficits and credit to the extent that we are seeing now...

The major beneficiary of the dollar fall will be gold (and silver). Gold has all the advantages that the dollar has not...

With world debt probably increasing by as much as $7.5 trillion in 2009, there will be at least 100 times more paper money created than new gold produced.

A wealth preservation portfolio should contain the following elements: Physical gold stored outside the banking system. Gold is likely to reach $1,400-$1,600 in 2009 and much higher in the next few years.

USAGOLD Comment: Company founder and president Michael J. Kosares appraised the preceding article as follows: "This is as good an “on-the-ground” analysis as I have seen over the past several months."

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Also, thanks to Ed Stein for his latest contribution to USAGOLD: "Cash for Clunkers"


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