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Warren Buffett sees no way
but down for US dollar
Agence France Presse - The
dollar cannot avoid further declines against other major currencies
unless the US trade and current
account deficits improve, legendary investor and businessman
Warren Buffett said. "I think, over time, unless we have
a major change in trade policies, I don't see how the dollar
avoids going down," the world's second-richest individual
told CNBC television. "I don't know when it happens.
I don't have any idea whether it will be this month or this year
or next year, but we are force-feeding dollars on to the rest
of the world at the rate of close to a couple billion dollars
a day, and that's going to weigh on the dollar."
Complete article
Commodity Strategist: Pension Funds May Invest in Commodities
Bloomberg - Pension funds with
$25 trillion under management will invest more in commodities
as a falling dollar and China's growing economy boost demand
for raw materials, Tudor Investment Corp. strategist Steve Mathews
said. "The thinking in commodity markets is that these people
have long-term horizons and won't leave the market as quickly
as some other traders might,'' Mathews, who manages commodity
investments for the Greenwich, Connecticut-based hedge fund,
said yesterday in an interview. "It could drive up prices.''
U.S. retirement funds have as much as $40 billion invested in
commodities, from oil to copper to soybeans, Mathews said Jan.
18 in a New York presentation to the Society for the Investigation
of Recurring Events, a group of Wall Street analysts who study
price patterns. Commodity investment "could increase quite
a bit, and it looks like it will,'' he said. . . The Goldman
Sachs Commodity Index, which tracks 24 raw materials, rose 17
percent last year, the third straight annual gain. Crude
oil jumped 34 percent, reaching a record $55.67 a barrel, and
copper rose 39 percent, touching a 15-year high.
Compete article
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Back to the Future: The 1970s
The Aden Sisters/321Gold -
Gold's bull market is alive and well since reaching a 16 year
high in early December at $456. And the decline we've seen since
then is normal.Gold's 16 year high last month reinforced that
the current bull market has now clearly outperformed the bull
markets in the 1980s and 1990s in both time and price gains.
This confirms the current bull market has now been the strongest
since the 1970s and it could be similar, eventually reaching
$800 or more. It's not really surprising when you see the similarities
compared to the 1970s. The most obvious is the high oil price.
It rose over 400% in 1971-1974, which is about the same as the
400% rise oil has had in the last six years. The budget deficits
and an extremely loose monetary policy are also similar, as are
the costs to finance an expensive war.
Complete article
Gold trade booming in China
World Gold Council - Gold is
coming back in fashion in China, according to latest reports,
with the middle class queuing up to purchase the precious metal.
Evidence of the demand for gold was
particularly clear when the Caishikou department store sold all
its gold bars in just a matter of hours last month. When a second
set of gold bars was released, the top gold retailer in Beijing
asked people to register by phone and nearly 3,000 people did.
The urban middle class is looking to cash in on the value of
the precious metal and all made sure they benefited from the
recent price peak for gold. Although exporting gold is still
banned, a booming home-grown market has now allowed the metal
to trade relatively freely, according to the China Post. Last
year 235.35 tonnes of gold were traded on the exchange and the
figure had already reached 170.04 tonnes of gold in the first
half of 2004 alone.
Complete article
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